Asset Allocation Reports
Asset Allocation Quarterly (Second Quarter 2025)
by the Asset Allocation Committee | PDF Our three-year forecast includes an economic slowdown in the near term and potential recovery later in the period. As the recession likelihood has increased significantly, we are reducing risk across the portfolios. Trade and fiscal policy uncertainty will continue to dampen business investment as well as consumer and… Read More »
Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – From Magnificent 7 to European Revival (April 14, 2025)
by Thomas Wash | PDF European equities have long suffered from investor skepticism and been burdened by perceptions of excessive regulation, bureaucratic inertia, and elevated operating costs. These structural challenges have historically overshadowed the region’s fundamental strengths. Yet 2025 has marked a striking reversal, with European stocks delivering exceptional returns that have handily surpassed US… Read More »
Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – Managing an Economic Slowdown (March 31, 2025)
by Thomas Wash | PDF Six months into his presidency, Reagan backed restrictive monetary policy to combat inflation. While the move initially drew criticism for its short-term economic pain, many viewed it as a necessary step toward long-term stability and growth. This optimism was ultimately vindicated, paving the way for Reagan’s landslide reelection in 1984.… Read More »
Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – Equities as an Inflation Hedge? (March 17, 2025)
by Daniel Ortwerth, CFA | PDF A time-honored belief holds that inflation is bad for stocks, but recent developments may be challenging this view. In this report, we step through the traditional narrative, review certain recent developments, and consider what might have changed in the relationship between inflation and stocks. Ultimately, we might be entering… Read More »
Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – Tackling Long-Term Interest Rates (March 3, 2025)
by the Asset Allocation Committee | PDF In his testimony before the House Financial Services Committee on February 12, Federal Reserve Chair Powell was questioned about why mortgage rates had not declined. In response, Powell emphasized that the Fed primarily influences short-term interest rates, not the longer-term rates such as those tied to mortgages. Despite… Read More »