Asset Allocation Reports
Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – A New Factor for Gold Prices (July 15, 2024)
by the Asset Allocation Committee | PDF The standard regression model is as follows: Y = α +β(X) + ε Where Y is the dependent variable, X is the independent variable, α is the intercept, β is slope and ε is the error term. No model, no matter how many independent variables are added, can… Read More »
Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – Small Caps and the Hope for a Soft Landing (June 24, 2024)
by the Asset Allocation Committee | PDF They don’t call him Maestro for nothing. In the mid-1990s, Federal Reserve Chair Alan Greenspan achieved what was once thought of as impossible: an economic soft landing. As the US labor market showed signs of tightening, he raised interest rates from 3% to 6% in 1994 to preemptively… Read More »
Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – Copper, Gold, Treasurys, and the New World (June 10, 2024)
by the Asset Allocation Committee | PDF Early 2023 served as a stark reminder that correlations can break down when least expected. Last year, a decline in the copper/gold ratio led many investors to anticipate a fall in longer-term yields, particularly for the 10-year Treasury note. However, these expectations were shattered as yields not only… Read More »
Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – The Importance of the Federal Reserve’s Inflation Target (May 28, 2024)
by the Asset Allocation Committee | PDF Money has three characteristics: medium of exchange, store of value, and unit of account. When money is taught in undergraduate economics classes, these three functions are treated as self-evident, but careful observation suggests that that the first two characteristics are contradictory. If a monetary authority emphasizes the medium… Read More »
Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – The Immigration Paradox (May 13, 2024)
by the Asset Allocation Committee | PDF Throughout history, immigration has been a politically charged issue, creating a rift between capital and labor. Employers have advocated for looser immigration policies to fill job vacancies, particularly for positions that don’t offer high pay. Conversely, labor unions often push for stricter policies to prevent an influx of… Read More »