Daily Comment
Daily Comment (April 30, 2019)
by Bill O’Grady and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] As we bid goodbye to April, there’s a new emperor in Japan and the IS leader re-emerges. China’s PMI data (see below) came in a bit light.[1] On the other hand, Europe’s GDP came in better than expected.[2] Here is what we are watching: Spanish… Read More »
Daily Comment (April 29, 2019)
by Bill O’Grady and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] Happy Monday! It was a cold weekend in the Midwest, with a late April snow for the upper parts of the nation’s midsection. It’s going to be a busy week, with the FOMC meeting and Japan’s Emperor Akihito taking the rare step of abdication tomorrow.[1] … Read More »
Daily Comment (April 26, 2019)
by Bill O’Grady and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] It’s GDP day! We cover the numbers in detail below, but our quick take is that the data was much stronger than expected, coming in at 3.2%, well above the +2.3% forecast. Here is what we are watching: Disappointing Japan: Although inflation was modestly higher… Read More »
Daily Comment (April 25, 2019)
by Bill O’Grady and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] It’s another mostly quiet morning as a plethora of earnings are released. Here is what we are watching: South Korea goes negative: Real GDP slipped into negative territory in Q1. Weak investment spending led to the unexpected slowdown. Although exports were weak, on a net… Read More »
Daily Comment (April 24, 2019)
by Bill O’Grady and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] Markets across the world are rather quiet this morning after U.S. equity indices made new closing highs yesterday. Here is what we are watching: China trade talks: Treasury Secretary Mnuchin and Trade Representative Lighthizer announced another round of meetings in Beijing next week.[1] The next… Read More »
Daily Comment (April 23, 2019)
by Bill O’Grady and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] Markets across the world are rather quiet this morning. Oil remains the focus. Here is what we are watching: Oil: Yesterday, the Trump administration announced that no more oil waivers will be granted on Iranian oil exports, which will tighten oil supplies. The U.S. has… Read More »
Daily Comment (April 22, 2019)
by Bill O’Grady and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] Happy Easter Monday! Most of Europe is closed today, along with a few Asian markets (Australia, New Zealand). It’s also Earth Day. There was a horrific terror event Easter Sunday against Christians in Sri Lanka.[1] Here is what we are watching: Oil: The Trump administration… Read More »
Daily Comment (April 18, 2019)
by Bill O’Grady and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] U.S. equities are mostly flat, while we are seeing weakness abroad. The Mueller report[1] gets released this morning, so the media will be focusing on that all day. European PMI data was lackluster.[2] In a fascinating development, a Democratic Party stalwart announced he isn’t running… Read More »
Daily Comment (April 17, 2019)
by Bill O’Grady and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] Equities are trending higher in a quiet trade. China’s economic data was solid. Here is what we are watching: Chinese data: GDP came in a bit better than expected, at 6.4%, but since GDP is mostly a manufactured number we expect it to always be… Read More »