Daily Comment

Daily Comment (April 3, 2018)

by Bill O’Grady and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] We are seeing a bit of a recovery this morning after a hard sell-off yesterday.  Here are our thoughts: This is mostly about technology: Tech companies have, until recently, had a reputation for good.  Their goal seemed to be to improve our lives at apparently low… Read More »

Daily Comment (April 2, 2018)

by Bill O’Grady and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] We are seeing a mixed market this morning—U.S. equity futures are lower as are Treasury prices, while commodities are higher.  Much of Europe is closed today for Easter Monday.  Here is what we are watching this morning: China retaliates…sort of: China slapped tariffs on 125 items,… Read More »

Daily Comment (March 29, 2018)

by Bill O’Grady and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] Risk assets are trending higher this morning in a quiet trade.  Several markets are closed today for Holy Thursday and U.S. markets will be closed tomorrow for Good Friday.  A number of European markets will close for Easter Monday.  When a group of markets are closed… Read More »

Daily Comment (March 28, 2018)

by Bill O’Grady and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] Equities were weak around the world but we are seeing a mixed recovery in the early U.S. trade.  Technology remains under pressure.  Here is what we are watching today: Oops: Yesterday, we bravely opined that Kim Jong-un probably didn’t go to China.  Well, today we get… Read More »

Daily Comment (March 27, 2018)

by Bill O’Grady and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] It’s risk-on around the world so far today.  Here is what we are watching: Is Kim in Beijing?  Although a number of reports have speculated the leader of North Korea has traveled to China, this news has yet to be confirmed.  If he did travel to… Read More »

Daily Comment (March 26, 2018)

by Bill O’Grady and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] Risk assets are rising this morning after the weekend media suggests the rhetoric on trade is much more potent than the reality.  Here is what we are watching this morning: BREAKING: President Trump to expel 60 Russian diplomats, joining 14 other EU nations taking similar actions… Read More »

Daily Comment (March 23, 2018)

by Bill O’Grady and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] It was a dark and stormy night for risk assets.  However, we are seeing glimmers of light in U.S. equity futures as they have recovered their overnight losses and have turned positive.  Here’s what we are watching: A budget deal: The budget deal passed Congress, meaning… Read More »

Daily Comment (March 22, 2018)

by Bill O’Grady and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] It’s a risk-off morning so far.  Equities are declining, Treasury yields are falling and the JPY is appreciating.  The factors hitting risk markets are softer than expected PMI data (see table below) and trade fears.  Here is what we are watching this morning: China trade: Tomorrow,… Read More »

Daily Comment (March 21, 2018)

by Bill O’Grady and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] It’s Fed day!  Here is what we are watching this morning: Powell speaks: The Fed meeting concludes today with virtual certainty of a 25 bps rate hike, taking the target to 1.75%.  It should be noted that the target is actually the upper target rate; in… Read More »

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