Daily Comment
Daily Comment (July 11, 2017)
by Bill O’Grady and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] It’s another quiet summertime morning. Here are the headlines we are watching: It’s official—Randal Quarles is likely the newest Fed governor: The Trump administration formally nominated Quarles for the chair vacated by Dan Tarullo. His name has been in the media for several weeks, so the… Read More »
Daily Comment (July 10, 2017)
by Bill O’Grady and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] Happy Monday! It’s officially mid-summer as baseball’s All-Star Game will be held tomorrow. Global markets are rather quiet this morning. Here are the headlines: G-20: The U.S. is becoming steadily isolated in the world as per the design of the Trump administration (and, to be fair,… Read More »
Daily Comment (July 7, 2017)
by Bill O’Grady and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] Happy employment day! The employment data is covered in detail below but the snapshot of the data is supportive. Payrolls rose 222k compared to forecasts of 178k; we also saw a 47k upward revision, making the report robust. The unemployment rate came in at 4.4% versus… Read More »
Daily Comment (July 6, 2017)
by Bill O’Grady and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] It’s a fairly quiet morning, typical of mid-summer. Here are the issues we are watching: Fed minutes: Most of the media recaps focused on the reduction of the balance sheet. As we have noted in the past, in theory, this action shouldn’t be a big deal. … Read More »
Daily Comment (July 5, 2017)
by Bill O’Grady and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] Back to work! Here are the items we are following this morning: North Korea’s ICBM: Over the holiday, North Korea launched an ICBM that is at least capable of reaching Hawaii and Alaska and could hit much of Asia, along with northern Australia. Although there is… Read More »
Daily Comment (June 30, 2017)
by Bill O’Grady, Kaisa Stucke, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] N.B. Due to the upcoming Independence Day holiday, the next issue of the Daily Comment will be published on July 5th. We want to wish you a happy and safe holiday! We expect a quiet trade today; it’s a summer Friday, there’s a holiday… Read More »
Daily Comment (June 29, 2017)
by Bill O’Grady, Kaisa Stucke, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] Here are some of the items we are tracking this morning: Fed stress tests give banks a green light: The banks performed well on the Federal Reserve stress tests, opening the sector to increasing dividends and stock buybacks. Bank stocks lifted the broader indices… Read More »
Daily Comment (June 28, 2017)
by Bill O’Grady, Kaisa Stucke, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] There was quite a bit of news from yesterday through this morning: ECB tells market “you misunderstand”: Yesterday, ECB President Draghi gave a speech that was taken to suggest that tapering was going to occur because the Eurozone economy is doing better. The EUR… Read More »
Daily Comment (June 27, 2017)
by Bill O’Grady, Kaisa Stucke, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] BREAKING NEWS: THE IMF HAS LOWERED U.S. GDP GROWTH FORECASTS FOR 2017-18. GROWTH FOR 2017 WAS CUT TO 2.1% FROM 2.3%. FOR 2018, THE FORECAST FALLS TO 2.1% FROM 2.5%. LACK OF FISCAL SPENDING ON INFRASTRUCTURE AND LACK OF TAX REFORM WERE CITED. Here… Read More »