Bi-Weekly Geopolitical Report
Weekly Geopolitical Report – Erdoğan’s Leadership and the Turkey-Greece Dispute: Part II (October 5, 2020)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA | PDF In Part I of this report last week, we took a deep look at Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s perspectives, goals, power, initiatives, and constraints. We examined how his primary aims are to regain Islam’s place in global society, seek redress for the way Islam and Turkey have been… Read More »
Weekly Geopolitical Report – Erdoğan’s Leadership and the Turkey-Greece Dispute: Part I (September 28, 2020)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA | PDF When talking about international relations, it’s tempting to describe each country as a monolithic, rational decisionmaker with a settled set of concerns, goals, strategies, and tactics. Examples of such descriptions include: China wants to solidify its claim to the South China Sea; Russia is trying to undermine Western democracies;… Read More »
Weekly Geopolitical Report – Meet Yoshihide Suga (September 21, 2020)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA | PDF Because of Japan’s enormous role in the world, investors need to pay attention whenever the country undergoes a change of leadership as it did last week. After all, Japan currently accounts for some 7% of global stock market capitalization and 6% of the world’s gross domestic product. Not bad… Read More »
Weekly Geopolitical Report – The New Spain (September 14, 2020)
by Thomas Wash | PDF Plaza de Toros de Las Ventas is the largest bullfighting arena in Spain and the third largest in the world. Located east of Central Madrid, the arena, with its almost 100-year history, attracts tourists from around the world who want to experience authentic Spanish culture. However, the pandemic has put… Read More »
Weekly Geopolitical Report – Trump’s Foreign Policy in a Second Term (August 31, 2020)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA | PDF (As is our custom, we will take a break for the Labor Day holiday. The next report will be published on September 7, 2020.) In our WGR last week, we examined how U.S. foreign policy might look in the event that Democratic Party nominee Joe Biden wins the November… Read More »
Weekly Geopolitical Report – Biden’s Foreign Policy (August 24, 2020)
by Bill O’Grady | PDF Traditionally, Labor Day is considered the point when an increasing number of Americans start paying attention to the November elections. As part of our analysis of the candidates, we create dossiers of the candidates and the leading figures with whom they surround themselves. In this report, we will comment on… Read More »
Weekly Geopolitical Report – An Inflection Point in Lebanon (August 17, 2020)
by Bill O’Grady | PDF On the afternoon of August 4, there was a massive explosion at the Port of Beirut. The explosion was one of the largest non-nuclear blasts in history, a seismic event with a magnitude of 3.3 on the Richter scale. At latest count, 220 have been confirmed dead, 110 are missing,… Read More »
Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Evolving U.S. Policy Toward China and Its Impact on Investors (August 10, 2020)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA | PDF Looking forward to the coming years and decades, today’s long-term investors face a stark question: will they be investing in a China-dominated world molded by authoritarian leaders in Beijing? Or, will they be investing in a more familiar, Western-dominated environment reflecting the historic leadership of the U.S. and incorporating… Read More »
Weekly Geopolitical Report – Rethinking China: Part II (August 3, 2020)
by Bill O’Grady | PDF In Part I, we described China’s situation using Japan as a historical analog. This week, we will complete the analogy and examine in some detail the potential motivations of Chinese and U.S. policymakers. As always, we will conclude the discussion with potential market ramifications. China’s Situation Similar to Japan in… Read More »