Bi-Weekly Geopolitical Report
Weekly Geopolitical Report – Reflections on Domestic Policy and American Hegemony: Part II (April 29, 2019)
by Bill O’Grady Two weeks ago, we introduced this report with a review of the basics of the reserve currency and the savings identity. This week, we will examine two important historical analogs, the Nixon and Reagan administrations. #1: The Nixon Analog As President Nixon prepared for the 1972 presidential campaign, he faced a number of… Read More »
Weekly Geopolitical Report – Reflections on Domestic Policy and American Hegemony: Part I (April 15, 2019)
by Bill O’Grady (Due to the Easter holiday, our next report will be published April 29.) The dollar is the world’s reserve currency. As such, there is a constant demand for dollars from foreign countries to provide liquidity for global transactions. Because of the reserve currency status, U.S. monetary and fiscal policy affects the world economy… Read More »
Weekly Geopolitical Report – When Hegemons Fade (April 8, 2019)
by Bill O’Grady In our Daily Comment report, a section on Brexit has become something of a regular feature. As part of keeping up with developments, we have commented on nearly every twist and turn (or lack thereof) in the Brexit process. In a recent WGR series, we discussed the Irish problem[1] and how it relates… Read More »
Weekly Geopolitical Report – Modern Monetary Theory: Part IV (April 1, 2019)
by Bill O’Grady In Part III, we examined the role of economic paradigms in the equality/ efficiency cycle. This week, we conclude this four-part series with a discussion on the flaws of Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) and market ramifications. The Flaws of MMT All of the major economic paradigms previously discussed lead to eventual problems. Capital-friendly… Read More »
Weekly Geopolitical Report – Modern Monetary Theory: Part III (March 25, 2019)
by Bill O’Grady In Part II, we discussed the principles and consequences of Modern Monetary Theory (MMT). This week’s installment will be devoted to the importance of paradigms. Next week, we will conclude the series with a discussion on the potential flaws of MMT along with market ramifications. The Importance of Paradigms Every major shift in… Read More »
Weekly Geopolitical Report – Modern Monetary Theory: Part II (March 18, 2019)
by Bill O’Grady In Part I of this four-part series, we introduced this report and discussed the origin narratives of Modern Monetary Theory (MMT). This week, we will examine the principles and consequences of the theory. Principles of MMT[1] MMT begins its analysis with a focus on macroeconomic identities and flows.[2] The theory states that the… Read More »
Weekly Geopolitical Report – Modern Monetary Theory: Part I (March 11, 2019)
by Bill O’Grady In recent weeks, Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) has become a hot topic of discussion. Given the level of controversy, we want to provide our take on the theory. One could wonder if this topic is appropriate for a geopolitical report. We are using this report to examine MMT because, in our opinion, its… Read More »
Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Irish Question: Part II (March 4, 2019)
by Bill O’Grady Last week, we examined the geopolitics of Britain and offered an abbreviated history of Irish/British relations. This week, we will begin by analyzing the Good Friday Agreement, followed by an analysis of Brexit regarding the Irish question. As always, we will conclude with market ramifications. The Good Friday Agreement By the late 1990s,… Read More »
Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Irish Question: Part I (February 25, 2019)
by Bill O’Grady As the United Kingdom continues on its path to withdraw from the European Union, a key element that needs to be considered is the border issue in Ireland. The Northern Ireland/Ireland frontier is the only border that would be directly affected by Brexit. The rest of the U.K. is an island, although border… Read More »