Research & News
Bi-Weekly Geopolitical Report – Parsing the World’s New Geopolitical Blocs (May 9, 2022)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA | PDF For more than a decade, we at Confluence have been tracking and writing about the waning commitment of the U.S. to its role as global hegemon. We’ve shown how U.S. retrenchment and protectionism have helped erode globalization. Factors like deregulation, falling transportation costs, improved technology, and easing geopolitical tensions… Read More »
Daily Comment (May 9, 2022)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Our Comment today opens with an update on the Russia-Ukraine war, where Russia’s advances remain stalled, and President Putin gave a Victory Day speech that was unexpectedly restrained. We next review a range of international and U.S. developments with the potential to… Read More »
Daily Comment (May 6, 2022)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Good morning! Today’s report begins with a discussion on yesterday’s FOMC meeting and an update on the situation in Ukraine. Next, we review a few international news stories. We conclude with economic and policy news and our COVID-19 coverage. Market Update: A… Read More »
Daily Comment (May 5, 2022)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Good morning! Today’s report begins with a discussion on yesterday’s FOMC meeting and other central bank news. Next, we give a roundup of the latest news regarding the Russian invasion followed by international developments, with a focus on U.K. local elections. Lastly,… Read More »
Weekly Energy Update (May 5, 2022)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA | PDF It appears oil prices are attempting to create a trading range between $105 to $95 per barrel. That may hold until the SPR release is complete. (Source: Barchart.com) Crude oil inventories unexpectedly rose 1.3 mb compared to a 0.2 mb draw forecast. The SPR… Read More »
Daily Comment (May 4, 2022)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Our Comment today opens with an update on the Russia-Ukraine war, where a significant Ukrainian counteroffensive may be thwarting Russia’s effort to encircle some of Kyiv’s best troops in eastern Ukraine. There are also more reports that suggest President Putin is preparing… Read More »
Daily Comment (May 3, 2022)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF We begin today’s Comment with our update on the Russia-Ukraine war. Military action yesterday apparently involved no new Russian advances, even as the U.S. warned that Russia is preparing to annex the swaths of eastern and southern Ukraine that it currently occupies. … Read More »
Daily Comment (May 2, 2022)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Our Comment today opens with an update on the Russia-Ukraine war, where Russian forces continue to make only limited territorial gains but have intensified their efforts to Russify the areas they already occupy. We next review a range of international and U.S.… Read More »