Research & News
Weekly Energy Update (June 17, 2021)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA | PDF Oil prices are moving steadily higher in an orderly fashion. (Source: Barchart.com) Crude oil inventories fell 7.4 mb compared to the 2.0 mb draw expected. The SPR fell 0.9 mb, meaning without the addition from the reserve, commercial inventories would have declined 8.2 mb.… Read More »
Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Geopolitics of the Colonial Pipeline Ransomware Attack: Part I (June 14, 2021)
by Bill O’Grady | PDF On Thursday, May 6, 2021, hackers attacked the Colonial Pipeline, capturing data by infiltrating the company’s business software. In response, the company closed its 5,500-mile pipeline to assess the damage and protect critical infrastructure. Eventually, the company paid the ransom and service was restored. Although a criminal event usually doesn’t… Read More »
Asset Allocation Weekly (June 11, 2021)
by the Asset Allocation Committee | PDF In May, respondents to the University of Michigan’s monthly Consumer Sentiment Survey said they expect consumer prices to rise at an average rate of 4.6% per year over the next half-decade—the highest level of inflation expectations in 12 years. In this report, we discuss why inflation expectations are… Read More »
Weekly Energy Update (June 10, 2021)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA | PDF Oil prices have moved above the $60 to $68 per barrel trading range and are testing $70 per barrel. (Source: Barchart.com) Crude oil inventories fell 5.2 mb compared to the 3.3 mb draw expected. The SPR fell 1.3 mb, meaning without the addition from… Read More »
Weekly Geopolitical Report – Taiwan and the Risk of Deglobalizing the World’s Semiconductor Industry: Part II (June 7, 2021)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA | PDF This series is written as a corollary to our recent multi-part WGR series titled “The Geopolitics of Taiwan,” published last month.[1] In Part I of this report, we showed how Taiwan and the Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSM, $111.85) represent a key vulnerability in the global computer chip industry. … Read More »
Asset Allocation Weekly (June 4, 2021)
by the Asset Allocation Committee | PDF (Due to staff vacation schedules, there will not be an accompanying podcast and chart book this week. The multimedia offerings associated with this report will resume next week, June 11.) Over the past five years, the United Kingdom has been the backwater of investment attraction. Much of the… Read More »
Asset Allocation Weekly (May 28, 2021)
by the Asset Allocation Committee | PDF Gold moved steadily higher from the late summer of 2018 into last August. Prices declined toward 1,700 into March but have been recovering since. In this report, we will update our views on the metal. We have been holding gold in our asset allocation portfolios since 2018, although… Read More »