Research & News
Weekly Energy Update (May 6, 2021)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA | PDF Tightening supplies have lifted crude oil prices toward the top of the recent trading range. (Source: Barchart.com) Crude oil inventories declined 8.0 mb compared to the 2.0 mb draw expected. The SPR fell 1.0 mb, meaning without the addition from the reserve, commercial inventories… Read More »
Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Geopolitics of Taiwan: Part I (May 3, 2021)
by Bill O’Grady | PDF Tensions over Taiwan have been steadily escalating in recent years. When President Trump was elected in 2016, one of the first official contacts he made was with President Tsai Ing-wen, the leader of Taiwan. Accepting this call infuriated Beijing, which views Taiwan as a province of the People’s Republic of… Read More »
Asset Allocation Weekly (April 30, 2021)
by Asset Allocation Committee | PDF (Due to staff vacations, there will not be an accompanying podcast and chart book this week. The multimedia offerings associated with this report will resume next week, May 7.) In our asset allocation strategies, we continue to have a separate provision to homebuilders. The reason for this particular position… Read More »
Weekly Energy Update (April 29, 2021)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA | PDF After the recent rally in prices, the market is consolidating recent gains and establishing a larger trading range between $68 to $58 per barrel. (Source: Barchart.com) Crude oil inventories rose 0.1 mb compared to the 1.0 mb draw expected. The SPR fell 1.4 mb,… Read More »
Weekly Geopolitical Report – Irish Border Revisited (April 26, 2021)
by Thomas Wash | PDF It has been more than a year since the U.K. and European Union (EU) came to terms with the Withdrawal Agreement, yet questions remain on how it will impact Northern Ireland, which was granted an exception to remain in the EU. Having decisively voted 56% to 44% to remain a… Read More »
Asset Allocation Weekly (April 23, 2021)
by Asset Allocation Committee | PDF A decade ago, the Rent Is Too Damn High Party became a viral sensation after a candidate for the New York governorship, Jimmy McMillan, announced lowering New York rent as his central platform. Now, over a decade later, rent prices in New York have finally started to fall. The… Read More »
Keller Quarterly (April 2021)
Letter to Investors | PDF Here we are again, with the U.S. stock market rising nicely and hitting new highs. I am getting two questions almost daily. The first is: “Is this real?” That’s a way of asking, “Can you trust this rally?” Our firm has, since the middle of last year, been consistent in… Read More »