Research & News
Daily Comment (November 30, 2021)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA [Posted: 9:30 AM EST] | PDF In today’s Comment, we open with highlights from the U.S. labor market, U.S. relations with China and Russia, and a small number of other international developments. However, the bulk of our report deals with the new Omicron variant of the… Read More »
Daily Comment (November 29, 2021)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Good morning and happy Monday! Risk markets are higher after a rough day on Friday. It’s a big week for Fed speakers, with Chair Powell speaking to Congress tomorrow on pandemic policy. We expect Powell will get lots of questions… Read More »
Daily Comment (November 23, 2021)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF N.B.: HOLIDAY SCHEDULE – The Daily Comment will go on hiatus after Tuesday’s report and will return on Monday, November 29. A Weekly Geopolitical Report was published yesterday, and the next report will be available on December 6. There will… Read More »
Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Geopolitics of the Strategic Petroleum Reserves (November 22, 2021)
by Bill O’Grady | PDF (NB: Due to the Thanksgiving holiday, the next report will be published on December 6.) During the 1970s, the world economy suffered through two oil shocks. The first, in 1973, was caused by the Yom Kippur War. The U.S. supported Israel, and the Arab states retaliated with an oil embargo. … Read More »
Daily Comment (November 22, 2021)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF N.B.: HOLIDAY SCHEDULE – The Daily Comment will go on hiatus after Tuesday’s report and will return on Monday, November 29. A Weekly Geopolitical Report will be published today, and the next report will be available on December 3. There… Read More »
Daily Comment (November 19, 2021)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Good morning! U.S. equity futures are signaling a lower open. Today’s report begins with U.S. economic and policy news, followed by our roundup of China-related stories. International news is next, and we conclude with our pandemic coverage. Economics and policy:… Read More »
Asset Allocation Weekly – The Composition of the FOMC (November 19, 2021)
by the Asset Allocation Committee | PDF (NB: Due to the Thanksgiving holiday, the next report will be published on December 3.) The FOMC now has at least three vacant governor positions and two regional bank president positions. There is one vacancy that remains from the Trump administration. Richard Clarida’s vice-chair position expires in January. … Read More »
Daily Comment (November 18, 2021)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Good morning on the eve of a major lunar eclipse! U.S. equity futures are moving higher this morning, and oil prices are ticking higher as well, despite U.S. pressure for a wider SPR release. Our coverage begins with comments on… Read More »