Research & News
Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Geopolitics of the Eurobond (June 29, 2020)
by Bill O’Grady | PDF (N.B. Due to the Independence Day holiday, the next report will be published on July 13.) A global hegemon provides two broad categories of public goods. The first is security. A successful hegemon enforces some degree of global security as it has the ability to project power globally. This power… Read More »
Asset Allocation Weekly (June 26, 2020)
by Asset Allocation Committee (N.B. Due to the Independence Day holiday, the next report will be issued on July 10, 2020.) Since 2008, some central banks have implemented negative policy interest rates. Standard economics suggests that negative nominal rates on deposits are impossible because holders could simply liquidate the deposit and “put the money under the… Read More »
Weekly Energy Update (June 25, 2020)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA (NB: Due to the upcoming Independence Day holiday, the next report will be published on July 9.) Here is an updated crude oil price chart. The oil market has stabilized at higher levels after April’s historic collapse. Crude oil inventories rose less than market expectations, with… Read More »
Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Geopolitics of the 2020 Election: Part V (June 22, 2020)
by Bill O’Grady | PDF This is the final report in our five-part series on the geopolitics of the 2020 election, which was divided into nine sections. This week, we conclude the report by covering the eighth and ninth sections, the base cases for a Trump or Biden win and market ramifications. Read the full report
Asset Allocation Weekly (June 19, 2020)
by Asset Allocation Committee By now, investors have rightly come around to the idea that the equity market’s strong rebound since late March can be largely ascribed to the aggressive monetary and fiscal policies put in place to counter the coronavirus crisis. The economic downturn from the pandemic lockdown has been severe, pushing unemployment to its… Read More »
Weekly Energy Update (June 18, 2020)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA Here is an updated crude oil price chart. The oil market has stabilized at higher levels after April’s historic collapse. Crude oil inventories were mostly in line with market expectations, with stockpiles rising 1.2 mb compared to forecasts of a 0.8 mb draw. The SPR added… Read More »
Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Geopolitics of the 2020 Election: Part IV (June 15, 2020)
by Bill O’Grady | PDF In this five-part series on the geopolitics of the 2020 election, we have divided the reports into nine sections. Last week, in Part III, we covered the incidence of establishment policy and the role of social media. This week, we reveal the sixth and seventh sections; we handicap the race… Read More »