Research & News
Daily Comment (November 1, 2021)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Good morning, happy Monday, and welcome to November! It’s going to be a busy week. The ISM manufacturing data is out this morning. The FOMC meets this week and will likely announce its tapering plans. We may also get a… Read More »
Daily Comment (October 29, 2021)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Good morning! U.S. equity futures are signaling a lower open this morning. Today’s report begins with international news, followed by U.S. economics and policy coverage. China news is next, and we conclude with our pandemic coverage. International news: The European… Read More »
Asset Allocation Weekly – The Debt Ceiling and the Platinum Coin (October 29, 2021)
by the Asset Allocation Committee | PDF The debt limit on authorized Treasury borrowing has created a periodic problem in recent years. When the limit had been reached in the past, it triggered a government shutdown. However, not all government shutdowns are simply due to reaching the debt ceiling. Sometimes a closure occurs because Congress… Read More »
Daily Comment (October 28, 2021)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Good morning! It’s a big day today. Q3 GDP is out (quick take—the data was weaker than expected, with very weak investment and a larger drag from net exports); we cover it in detail below. The ECB meeting is also… Read More »
Weekly Energy Update (October 28, 2021)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA | PDF Prices have moved above $85 per barrel this week but retreated on this week’s inventory data. (Source: Barchart.com) Crude oil inventories rose 4.3 mb compared to a 1.8 mb build forecast. The SPR declined 1.1 mb, meaning the net draw was 3.2 mb. In… Read More »
Daily Comment (October 27, 2021)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF We open today’s Comment with U.S. news related to fiscal policy and potential new regulatory risks for the technology sector. Next is a discussion regarding the Chinese debt crisis and a range of other foreign news that could affect the… Read More »
Daily Comment (October 26, 2021)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF In today’s Comment, we open with developments touching on two of the biggest concerns that investors have these days, China’s debt crisis and high prices for commodities and other goods. We next provide an update to the U.S. fiscal policy… Read More »
Daily Comment (October 25, 2021)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Good morning and happy Monday, the last in October. Risk markets are trending higher this morning, with WTI moving over $85 per barrel. Much of the country is being rocked by wild weather. Anyone watching the late NFL game saw… Read More »