Research & News
Weekly Geopolitical Report – Irish Border Revisited (April 26, 2021)
by Thomas Wash | PDF It has been more than a year since the U.K. and European Union (EU) came to terms with the Withdrawal Agreement, yet questions remain on how it will impact Northern Ireland, which was granted an exception to remain in the EU. Having decisively voted 56% to 44% to remain a… Read More »
Daily Comment (April 26, 2021)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Good morning and happy Monday, the last one in April! U.S. equity futures are mostly steady this morning as investors await a plethora of earnings reports this week. Our coverage begins with the pandemic, and we are watching India’s caseloads… Read More »
Daily Comment (April 23, 2021)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Good morning all! U.S. equities are expected to open higher this morning as optimism grows over a potential infrastructure package. We have a full slate of news to cover today. The report will start with a discussion on Biden’s tax… Read More »
Asset Allocation Weekly (April 23, 2021)
by Asset Allocation Committee | PDF A decade ago, the Rent Is Too Damn High Party became a viral sensation after a candidate for the New York governorship, Jimmy McMillan, announced lowering New York rent as his central platform. Now, over a decade later, rent prices in New York have finally started to fall. The… Read More »
Keller Quarterly (April 2021)
Letter to Investors | PDF Here we are again, with the U.S. stock market rising nicely and hitting new highs. I am getting two questions almost daily. The first is: “Is this real?” That’s a way of asking, “Can you trust this rally?” Our firm has, since the middle of last year, been consistent in… Read More »
Daily Comment (April 22, 2021)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Good morning, and happy Earth Day! It’s a busy Thursday, with lots of items to cover. U.S. equity futures are steady to lower this morning. Our coverage begins with Biden’s two-day climate summit. The ECB holds its meeting, and we… Read More »
Weekly Energy Update (April 22, 2021)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA | PDF After the recent rally in prices, the market is consolidating recent gains and establishing a larger trading range between $68 to $58 per barrel. (Source: Barchart.com) Crude oil inventories rose 0.6 mb compared to the 3.4 mb draw expected. The SPR fell 0.7 mb,… Read More »
Daily Comment (April 21, 2021)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Today’s Comment opens with a few key U.S. developments that are likely to affect financial markets today. President Biden will reportedly call for an aggressive 50% cut in U.S. greenhouse gas emissions, which will likely raise concerns about new regulations… Read More »
Asset Allocation Quarterly (Second Quarter 2021)
by the Asset Allocation Committee | PDF Monetary and fiscal stimulus are expected to help propel the U.S. economy through recovery into expansion over our three-year forecast period. Global central banks have been, and should continue to be, excessively accommodative as the world emerges from lockdowns caused by the pandemic. Inflation numbers may appear stark… Read More »