Research & News
Daily Comment (May 21, 2021)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Good morning, all! U.S. equities are expected to open higher this morning as investor optimism has been bolstered by strong economic data and positive earnings reports. Today’s report starts off with a brief update of the conflict between Israel and… Read More »
Asset Allocation Weekly (May 21, 2021)
by the Asset Allocation Committee | PDF In March, job openings rose to their highest level on record. According to the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS), there were over 8.1 million job vacancies, surpassing the previous record of 7.6 million set in November 2018. The surge in vacancies is supported by data from… Read More »
Daily Comment (May 20, 2021)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Good morning. U.S. equity futures are lower, although off the worst levels of the session. Other assets, like commodities and crypto, have also come under pressure. Our coverage kicks off with the Fed minutes, which roiled financial markets. We follow… Read More »
Weekly Energy Update (May 20, 2021)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA | PDF Oil prices continue to trade in a range from $58 to $68 per barrel. (Source: Barchart.com) Crude oil inventories rose 1.3 mb compared to the 2.0 mb build expected. The SPR fell 1.9 mb, meaning without the addition from the reserve, commercial inventories would… Read More »
Daily Comment (May 19, 2021)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Today’s Comment opens with another broadside from Larry Summers against the current stance of U.S. monetary and fiscal policy. Inflation hawks will likely be quite satisfied with his latest criticisms. We next examine a new threat to private cryptocurrencies out… Read More »
Daily Comment (May 18, 2021)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF In today’s Comment, we open with a range of global news developments, touching primarily on the energy industry and the Middle East. The Israeli-Hamas conflict remains a major story, although there has been little to no direct impact on the… Read More »
Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Geopolitics of Taiwan: Part III (May 17, 2021)
by Bill O’Grady | PDF In Part I of this report, we covered the history of Taiwan along with current relations between the People’s Republic of China (PRC) and the Republic of China (ROC), and discussed the end of strategic ambiguity. In Part II, we analyzed the geopolitical importance of Taiwan and China’s military options. … Read More »
Daily Comment (May 17, 2021)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Good morning and happy Monday! It’s a down day for equities this morning. Our coverage begins with a recap of the situation in Israel, a second look at the retail sales data, and the Atlanta FRB’s GDPNow forecast. Our update… Read More »
Daily Comment (May 14, 2021)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Good morning, all! U.S. equities are expected to open higher this morning following reports that the Fed will likely not be withdrawing monetary support anytime soon despite the Consumer Price Index rising faster than expected in April. Today’s report starts… Read More »