Research & News
Daily Comment (February 4, 2021)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA [Posted: 9:30 AM EST] | PDF Good morning. U.S. equity futures are modestly higher this morning. We begin our coverage with a look at tomorrow’s non-farm payroll report and why it could be a rather deceptive blowout. The next stop is international news, including a discussion… Read More »
Weekly Energy Update (February 4, 2021)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA | PDF Here is an updated crude oil price chart. Prices broke out of their recent trading range and are now well above $55 per barrel. Commercial crude oil inventories unexpectedly fell 1.0 mb when a build of 3.0 mb was forecast. In the details, U.S.… Read More »
Daily Comment (February 3, 2021)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA [Posted: 9:30 AM EST] | PDF Our Comment today opens with a quick update on the Reddit-related trading frenzy, but it then pivots to key European news, including former ECB chief Mario Draghi’s agreement to try to form a new government in Italy. That development has… Read More »
Daily Comment (February 2, 2021)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA [Posted: 9:30 AM EST] | PDF Our Comment today opens with key trade and international news, including an important sign of where the Biden administration will go with the protectionist trade policies it inherited from the Trump administration. Eurozone economic activity held up better than anticipated… Read More »
Weekly Geopolitical Report – The U.S.-China Balance of Power: Part III (February 1, 2021)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA | PDF In Part II of this report, we provided a head-to-head comparison of U.S. and Chinese military power. Obviously, military power is the ultimate source of coercion that one country can use to influence others. During non-conflict times, however, countries tend to use less violent means of influence. One of… Read More »
Daily Comment (February 1, 2021)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA [Posted: 9:30 AM EST] | PDF Good morning and welcome back from the weekend. Lots going on, but first, equity futures have turned higher, and the Northeast is getting some snow. Our coverage leads off with the coup in Myanmar. Russian protests follow. The continuing saga… Read More »
Daily Comment (January 29, 2021)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA [Posted: 9:30 AM EST] | PDF Good morning. Global equities are lower this morning as the spread of a new variant of the virus and COVID-19 vaccine production delays continue to worry investors. We begin our coverage with a discussion of new developments in the Reddit… Read More »
Asset Allocation Weekly (January 29, 2021)
by Asset Allocation Committee | PDF Although there are always sundry risks to financial markets, a proximate and substantial risk comes from inflation. Of course, there is always risk of some degree of generalized price changes to financial assets. It also is important to realize that there is always some degree of inflation or deflation… Read More »