Research & News
Daily Comment (December 2, 2020)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Our Daily Comment today opens with a discussion of President-elect Biden’s economic team, which was formally introduced yesterday. We then cover developments related to Brexit, the EU’s proposed coronavirus recovery fund, mutualized debt, and other international issues. We end with… Read More »
Daily Comment (December 1, 2020)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Our Daily Comment today opens with the latest developments as President-elect Biden builds out his policy team. It now appears his nominee for the Office of Management and Budget (OMB) is generating congressional pushback. We then review key international developments,… Read More »
Daily Comment (November 30, 2020)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Good morning and happy Monday, the last day of November! We’re back after a few days off. U.S. equity futures are lower this morning in a quiet trade. Gold continues to decline as well; we comment below. We lead off… Read More »
Daily Comment (November 24, 2020)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Our Daily Comment today opens with news related to the presidential election and transition. The Trump administration is now allowing Vice President Biden’s team to access federal resources for the transition of power, and the resulting reduction in uncertainty is… Read More »
Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Disputed Territory of Nagorno-Karabakh: Part I (November 23, 2020)
by Thomas Wash | PDF (Due to the Thanksgiving holiday, our next report will be published on December 7, 2020.) On November 9, Armenia agreed to give up some of its territory to Azerbaijan in a deal brokered by Russia. After six weeks of fighting and three failed ceasefires, Azerbaijan and Armenia have ended their… Read More »
Daily Comment (November 23, 2020)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Good morning and happy Monday! Equities are higher this morning as a third vaccine candidate shows promise. We begin our coverage with a recap of the G-20. Not much happened, so it will be short. We include foreign policy news.… Read More »
Daily Comment (November 20, 2020)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Good morning and happy Friday! Equity futures sold off overnight but have recovered from much of their losses. We lead off today’s coverage with the Treasury’s decision to end support for a series of Federal Reserve backstop programs. Pandemic news… Read More »
Asset Allocation Weekly (November 20, 2020)
by Asset Allocation Committee | PDF In the aftermath of the election and favorable news on vaccine progress, we have seen a notable backup in interest rates. The 10-year T-note yield is flirting with 1%. In this report, we will examine the future path of long-duration interest rates. We start with our 10-year T-note yield… Read More »