Research & News
Asset Allocation Weekly (January 29, 2021)
by Asset Allocation Committee | PDF Although there are always sundry risks to financial markets, a proximate and substantial risk comes from inflation. Of course, there is always risk of some degree of generalized price changes to financial assets. It also is important to realize that there is always some degree of inflation or deflation… Read More »
Keller Quarterly (January 2021)
Letter to Investors | PDF There is an adage I repeat to my colleagues during every election cycle (of which I’m sure they’ve long ago grown tired): “We don’t get to manage money in the world we wish we had, we can only manage money in the world we have.” Every four years approximately half… Read More »
Daily Comment (January 28, 2021)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA [Posted: 9:30 AM EST] | PDF Good morning. A lot is going on in the world; equity futures were down most of the night but are crawling back to unchanged. We lead off with a recap of the first Fed meeting of the year, followed by… Read More »
Weekly Energy Update (January 28, 2021)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA | PDF Here is an updated crude oil price chart. Prices are consolidating between $54 to $52 dollars per barrel after a strong rally from early November into late January. Commercial crude oil inventories unexpectedly fell 9.9 mb when a build of 1.5 mb was forecast.… Read More »
Daily Comment (January 27, 2021)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA [Posted: 9:30 AM EST] | PDF Our Comment today opens with a short discussion of what to expect from today’s monetary policy decision from the Federal Reserve. In short, we expect no substantive change in policy. We then discuss a range of news stories from abroad,… Read More »
Daily Comment (January 26, 2021)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA [Posted: 9:30 AM EST] | PDF Our Comment today opens with news from China, where new data showing a surge of foreign direct investment into the country last year is being tempered by a new move by the central bank to reduce liquidity in the financial… Read More »
Weekly Geopolitical Report – The U.S.-China Balance of Power: Part II (January 25, 2021)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA | PDF In Part I of this report, we provided a comprehensive overview of how China and the U.S. see their key interests and goals. We believe those understandings will have a big impact on how the two sides compete with each other in the coming decades. In Part II this… Read More »
Daily Comment (January 25, 2021)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA [Posted: 9:30 AM EST] | PDF Good morning and Happy Monday. U.S. equity futures were higher this morning but are in retreat, with only the tech sector showing strength. This trend is likely due to concerns about another resurgence of the virus, pushing investors to fall… Read More »