Research & News
Daily Comment (September 18, 2023)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Our Comment today opens with signs that the Chinese government is working to prevent further financial market contagion related to its faltering real estate sector. We next review a wide range of other international and U.S. developments with the potential to affect… Read More »
Daily Comment (September 15, 2023)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Good morning! Today’s Comment will be broken into three sections: 1) Why unions are starting to grow in popularity; 2) Why long-duration Treasury yields are likely to rise over the next few years; and 3) Why the market should be cautiously optimistic… Read More »
Daily Comment (September 14, 2023)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Good morning! Today’s Comment is split into three sections: 1) Why rising energy prices will complicate the Fed’s efforts to project future policy rates; 2) Why European policymakers may be finished with their hiking cycle; and 3) Why the green transition is… Read More »
Weekly Energy Update (September 14, 2023)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA | PDF Oil prices have continued their rise, with WTI trending towards $90 per barrel. (Source: Barchart.com) Commercial crude oil inventories rose 4.0 mb, compared to forecasts of a 2.0 mb draw. The SPR rose 0.3 mb which puts the net build at 4.2 mb (the… Read More »
Daily Comment (September 13, 2023)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Our Comment today opens with the latest news on souring relations between the West and China. We next review a wide range of other international and U.S. developments with the potential to affect the financial markets today, including the latest on the… Read More »
Daily Comment (September 12, 2023)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Today’s Comment opens with a discussion of new irritants in the China-India relationship and what they mean for investors. We next review a wide range of other international and U.S. developments with the potential to affect the financial markets today, including indications… Read More »
Daily Comment (September 11, 2023)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Our Comment today opens with news about Chinese domestic politics and the country’s currency, the renminbi. We next review a wide range of other international and U.S. developments with the potential to affect the financial markets today, including news of a cut… Read More »
Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – Fiscal Tightening Looms (September 11, 2023)
by the Asset Allocation Committee | PDF To understand the state of the U.S. economy and gauge near-term financial prospects, investors over the last couple of years have focused on issues like the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy, consumer price inflation, labor market indicators, and retail sales. They seemed to pay much less attention to fiscal… Read More »
Daily Comment (September 8, 2023)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Good morning! Today’s Comment will be broken down into three sections: 1) Why more central banks are signaling an end to their tightening cycle; 2) How the no-shows by the U.S. and China reflect the waning relevance of multilateral organizations; and 3)… Read More »