Research & News
Daily Comment (January 14, 2025)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM ET] | PDF Our Comment today opens with news that Israel and Hamas could be on the verge of a cease-fire deal that could help stabilize the Middle East and reduce the risk of disruption in the global energy market. We next review several other… Read More »
Bi-Weekly Geopolitical Report – Syrian Surprise: Implications of a Sudden Regime Change (January 13, 2025)
by Daniel Ortwerth, CFA | PDF On December 8, 2024, the world awoke to a dramatically changed order in the Middle East. Seemingly out of nowhere, the Assad family regime, which had stood for 54 years and withstood 13 years of civil war, fell to a sudden rebel onslaught. What seemingly began only 11 days… Read More »
Daily Comment (January 13, 2025)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM ET] | PDF Our Comment today opens with a few words on the global bond sell-off, which so far this morning is still pushing yields higher. We next review several other international and US developments with the potential to affect the financial markets, including more… Read More »
Daily Comment (January 10, 2025)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM ET] | PDF Good morning! The market is reacting to the latest jobs data. In sports news, Real Madrid triumphed over Mallorca to advance to the final of the Spanish Super Cup. Today’s Comment will delve into the recent rise in UK gilt yields, explore… Read More »
Daily Comment (January 8, 2025)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM ET] | PDF Note: The Confluence offices will be closed tomorrow, January 9, for the Day of Mourning, and we will not publish a Daily Comment. Good morning! Concerns about the deficit and inflation continue to weigh on investor sentiment. In sports news, New Orleans… Read More »
Daily Comment (January 7, 2025)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM ET] | PDF Our Comment today opens with new US moves to constrain the Chinese economy and military buildup. We next review several other international and US developments with the potential to affect the financial markets today, including some notes on yesterday’s resignation of Canadian… Read More »
Daily Comment (January 6, 2025)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM ET] | PDF Our first Comment of the New Year opens with the same old geopolitical tensions in Asia, this time with reports touching China, Taiwan, and Japan. We next review several other international and US developments with the potential to affect the financial markets… Read More »
Daily Comment (December 23, 2024)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM ET] | PDF Note to readers: the Daily Comment will go on hiatus after today’s Comment and will return on January 6, 2025. From all of us at Confluence Investment Management, have a Happy Holiday and a Happy New Year! Our Comment today opens with… Read More »