Research & News
Daily Comment (October 17, 2023)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Our Comment today opens with a discussion of how difficult it is for countries to abandon the U.S. dollar for international trade. We next review a range of other international and U.S. news with the potential to affect the financial markets today,… Read More »
Bi-Weekly Geopolitical Report – What Shall We Call the New Era? (October 16, 2023)
Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA | PDF Whether you’re a policymaker, an investor, a small business owner, or simply a student of world history and international affairs, it’s useful to have meaningful labels for various epochs. Ideally, such a label is widely accepted and captures some essential aspect of the era you’re thinking about, making it easier… Read More »
Daily Comment (October 16, 2023)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF With last week’s events in Israel serving as a reminder of how the world is becoming more violent and chaotic as the post-Cold War era comes to an end, today’s Comment opens with an update on the all-important risk of a Chinese… Read More »
Daily Comment (October 13, 2023)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Good morning! Equities are up slightly, and the Atlanta Braves are out of the playoffs. Today’s Comment starts with our thoughts on the inflation report. We then follow with discussions on rising global borrowing costs, the Polish Parliamentary elections, and provide an… Read More »
Weekly Energy Update (October 13, 2023)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA | PDF The Hamas attack on Israel did lift oil prices earlier this week, but markets are mainly taking a “wait and see” approach to prices so far. (Source: Barchart.com) Commercial crude oil inventories jumped 10.2 mb compared to forecasts of a 0.4 mb draw. The… Read More »
Daily Comment (October 12, 2023)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Good morning! Equities are off to a great start and the Dodgers are out of the playoffs. Today’s Comment begins with a discussion of the increased scrutiny facing social media companies, our analysis of the latest FOMC meeting minutes, and an update… Read More »
Daily Comment (October 11, 2023)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Our Comment today opens with a warning from the International Monetary Fund about global public finances. We next review a wide range of other international and U.S. developments with the potential to affect the financial markets today, including the latest on the… Read More »
Daily Comment (October 10, 2023)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Our Comment today opens with an update on the situation in Israel, where the country’s military is poised to launch a ground attack on Hamas fighters in the Gaza Strip and all eyes are watching for a potential widening of the conflict. … Read More »
Daily Comment (October 9, 2023)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Good morning. Financial markets have been roiled by events in the Middle East, which we will discuss. We are seeing market reactions typical with such geopolitical events, such as a stronger dollar, higher oil prices, a surge in gold, and a decline… Read More »