Research & News
Daily Comment (September 21, 2023)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Good morning! Today’s Comment is split into three sections: 1) How the Federal Reserve’s latest rate decision will impact its policy for next year; 2) Why governments may be forced to moderate some of their climate goals; and 3) Why support for… Read More »
Weekly Energy Update (September 21, 2023)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA | PDF Oil prices have continued their rise, with Brent trending toward $95 per barrel. Recent extensions of the production cuts by the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA) have boosted prices. (Source: Barchart.com) Commercial crude oil inventories fell 2.1 mb compared to forecasts of a 1.7… Read More »
Daily Comment (September 20, 2023)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Our Comment today opens with the evolving relationship between the European Union and China. We next review a range of other international and U.S. developments with the potential to affect the financial markets today, including a short military operation in the Caucasus… Read More »
Daily Comment (September 19, 2023)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Our Comment today opens with updated forecasts for global economic growth from the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development. The OECD report also urged central banks to keep hiking interest rates and keep them high to snuff out consumer price inflation. We… Read More »
Bi-Weekly Geopolitical Report – Goodbye Prigozhin (September 18, 2023)
Bill O’Grady | PDF On August 23, an executive jet carrying seven passengers and three crew members crashed near Moscow on a flight to St. Petersburg. Yevgeny Prigozhin, the head of the Wagner Group, a private Russian military company, was reportedly one of the passengers. Prigozhin was having an eventful summer. He had led an… Read More »
Daily Comment (September 18, 2023)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Our Comment today opens with signs that the Chinese government is working to prevent further financial market contagion related to its faltering real estate sector. We next review a wide range of other international and U.S. developments with the potential to affect… Read More »
Daily Comment (September 15, 2023)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Good morning! Today’s Comment will be broken into three sections: 1) Why unions are starting to grow in popularity; 2) Why long-duration Treasury yields are likely to rise over the next few years; and 3) Why the market should be cautiously optimistic… Read More »
Daily Comment (September 14, 2023)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Good morning! Today’s Comment is split into three sections: 1) Why rising energy prices will complicate the Fed’s efforts to project future policy rates; 2) Why European policymakers may be finished with their hiking cycle; and 3) Why the green transition is… Read More »
Weekly Energy Update (September 14, 2023)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA | PDF Oil prices have continued their rise, with WTI trending towards $90 per barrel. (Source: Barchart.com) Commercial crude oil inventories rose 4.0 mb, compared to forecasts of a 2.0 mb draw. The SPR rose 0.3 mb which puts the net build at 4.2 mb (the… Read More »