Research & News
Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – A Pause That Refreshes? (December 4, 2023)
by the Asset Allocation Committee | PDF (Note: This is the final AABW of 2023; the next report will be published in January 2024.) In 1929, Coca-Cola® introduced the tagline “a pause that refreshes.” Although other advertising campaigns have come and gone, this line still sticks around in the public consciousness. And, it has moved… Read More »
Weekly Energy Update (November 30, 2023)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA | PDF Crude oil prices have retreated from their early October highs. (Source: Barchart.com) Commercial crude oil inventories rose 1.6 mb compared to forecasts of a 1.7 mb draw. The SPR rose 0.3 mb, which puts the net build at 1.9 mb. In the details, U.S.… Read More »
Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – Reflections on Earnings (November 20, 2023)
by the Asset Allocation Committee | PDF The third quarter’s earnings season is coming to a close and, once again, earnings beat expectations. In this report, we will take a more in-depth look at S&P 500 earnings and overall corporate earnings. This chart examines S&P 500 earnings on a four-quarter trailing basis. We have regressed… Read More »
Weekly Energy Update (November 16, 2023)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA | PDF Crude oil prices have retreated from their early October highs. (Source: Barchart.com) Commercial crude oil inventories rose 0.8 mb compared to forecasts of a 2.0 mb build. The SPR was unchanged, which puts the net build at 0.8 mb. In the details, U.S. crude… Read More »
Bi-Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Archetypes of American Foreign Policy: A Reprise (November 13, 2023)
Bill O’Grady | PDF A critical issue in 2024 will be the U.S. presidential elections. America is going through a particularly partisan period where passing legislation is difficult and policy shifts between administrations are widening. Foreign policy isn’t exempt from these changes. In preparation for next year’s election, we wanted to update one of our… Read More »