Research & News
Weekly Energy Update (December 1, 2022)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA | PDF Crude oil prices have been falling on fears of weaker Chinese demand due to COVID issues. We note that the futures market structure has moved into contango, where the deferred contracts trade at a premium to the spot. This is a bearish market structure.… Read More »
Weekly Energy Update (November 17, 2022)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA | PDF (The Weekly Energy Update will not be published next week due to Thanksgiving. The report will return on December 1.) Crude oil prices appear to be building in a base in the mid-$80s. (Source: Barchart.com) Crude oil inventories fell 5.4 mb compared to a… Read More »
Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – The Impossible Trinity (November 14, 2022)
by the Asset Allocation Committee | PDF The U.S. Dollar Index hit a 20-year high in September as the greenback gained against other global currencies. The climb in the U.S. dollar (USD) began in the post-pandemic recovery. Investors flocked to the greenback for safety as the U.S. economy outgrew its peers in the OECD. Aggressive… Read More »
Weekly Energy Update (November 10, 2022)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA | PDF Crude oil prices appear to be building in a base in the mid-$80s. (Source: Barchart.com) Crude oil inventories rose 3.9 mb compared to a 0.3 mb build forecast. The SPR declined 3.6 mb, meaning the net build was 0.3 mb. In the details, U.S.… Read More »
Bi-Weekly Geopolitical Report – Reflections on the 20th Party Congress (November 7, 2022)
by Bill O’Grady | PDF (The Bi-Weekly Geopolitical Report will not be published in two weeks due to Thanksgiving. The report will return on December 12.) The Communist Party of China’s (CPC) 20th Party Congress has come to a close. By all accounts, General Secretary Xi has tightened his grip on power. Not only has… Read More »
Weekly Energy Update (November 3, 2022)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA | PDF Crude oil prices appear to be building in a base in the mid-$80s. (Source: Barchart.com) Crude oil inventories fell 3.1 mb compared to a 1.5 mb build forecast. The SPR declined 1.9 mb, meaning the net draw was 5.0 mb. In the details, U.S.… Read More »
Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – The Inflation Adjustment for Social Security Benefits in 2023 (October 31, 2022)
by the Asset Allocation Committee | PDF Even for dedicated, successful investors who have built up a substantial nest egg, Social Security retirement and disability investments can be an important part of one’s financial security. For many Americans, Social Security benefits may be the only significant source of income in old age. On average, Social… Read More »