Research & News
Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – The ECB Dilemma (July 11, 2022)
by the Asset Allocation Committee | PDF When the Eurozone project began, investors assumed that the credit risk for individual countries would be shared equally among the group’s members. This notion unraveled after the collapse of Lehman Brothers set off a chain of events that triggered the European Sovereign Debt Crisis in 2010. As the… Read More »
Weekly Energy Update (June 30, 2022)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA | PDF (N.B.=> due to Independence Day, the next report will be issued on July 14.) The DOE has resolved its systems issues and released weekly data for 6/17/22 and 6/24/22. We update the data below. After a sharp correction on recession worries, crude oil prices… Read More »
Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – The Selling of Austerity (June 27, 2022)
by the Asset Allocation Committee | PDF Politics is the art of the possible… — Otto Von Bismarck Although there have been attempts to treat it as a science (hence the study of political science), the necessary art of politics is to convince people to accept policies that may be contrary to their best interest. … Read More »
Weekly Energy Update (June 24, 2022)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA | PDF Crude oil prices continue to rise in an orderly fashion. (Source: Barchart.com) Crude oil inventories rose 2.0 mb compared to a 2.0 mb draw forecast. The SPR declined 7.7 mb, meaning the net draw was 5.8 mb. In the details, U.S. crude oil production… Read More »
Bi-Weekly Geopolitical Report – The 2022 Mid-Year Geopolitical Outlook (June 21, 2022)
by Bill O’Grady and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA | PDF (N.B. Due to the Fourth of July holiday, our next geopolitical report will be published on July 18.) As is our custom, we update our geopolitical outlook for the remainder of the year as the first half comes to a close. This report is less a… Read More »
Weekly Energy Update (June 16, 2022)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA | PDF Crude oil prices continue to rise in an orderly fashion. (Source: Barchart.com) Crude oil inventories rose 2.0 mb compared to a 2.0 mb draw forecast. The SPR declined 7.7 mb, meaning the net draw was 5.8 mb. In the details, U.S. crude oil production… Read More »