Research & News
Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – The Federal Reserve’s Big Policy Mistake (September 19, 2022)
by the Asset Allocation Committee | PDF If you look at how stocks and other risk assets have lost value since Fed Chair Powell’s short, hawkish speech at Jackson Hole last month, it’s clear he has succeeded in resetting expectations for monetary policy. Investors now seem to accept that the Fed plans to hike interest… Read More »
Daily Comment (September 16, 2022)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Good morning! Today’s Comment begins with an update on the conflict in Ukraine, which includes a discussion about China and Russia’s relationship. Next, we review the dollar’s impact on the global economy. We conclude the report with an overview of U.S. efforts… Read More »
Daily Comment (September 15, 2022)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Good morning! Today’s Comment begins with an overview of the implications of a more aggressive Federal Reserve. Next, we discuss the latest developments in the EU and U.S. fight against inflation, which includes an update on rail worker negotiations. The report concludes… Read More »
Weekly Energy Update (September 15, 2022)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA | PDF Crude oil prices remain under pressure on recession fears. (Source: Barchart.com) Crude oil inventories rose 2.4 mb compared to a 2.5 mb build forecast. The SPR declined 8.4 mb, meaning the net draw was 6.0 mb. In the details, U.S. crude oil production was… Read More »
Daily Comment (September 14, 2022)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Our Comment today opens with an update on the Russia-Ukraine war, including an update on how Russia is responding to Ukraine’s recent battlefield gains. We next review a wide range of other international and U.S. developments with the potential to affect the… Read More »
Daily Comment (September 13, 2022)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Our Comment today opens with an update on the Russia-Ukraine war, and a discussion on the latest Ukrainian successes not only in northern Ukraine but also in the south. We next review a wide range of other international and U.S. developments with… Read More »
Bi-Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Ukraine War at Six Months: Some Reflections (September 12, 2022)
by Bill O’Grady | PDF On February 24, Russian forces entered Ukraine. Despite warnings from U.S. intelligence about an invasion, the general consensus was that Moscow was merely threatening to act. Thus, when Russia invaded, Europe was mostly caught by surprise. Much of what followed was also unexpected. As we reach the six-month mark of… Read More »
Daily Comment (September 12, 2022)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Our Comment today opens with an update on the Russia-Ukraine war, including some notes on Ukraine’s devastating victories over Russian forces since late last week. We next review a wide range of other international and U.S. developments with the potential to affect… Read More »
Daily Comment (September 9, 2022)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Today’s Comment begins with a discussion about the raging energy crisis in Europe. Next, we give an overview of stories that show that the world is still adapting to a new normal. We end the report with our thoughts on the latest… Read More »