Research & News
Bi-Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Bosnian Divide (April 11, 2022)
by Thomas Wash | PDF It took just two shots from Gavrilo Princip to change the world. That day in Sarajevo marked the end of the Habsburg dynasty, ignited the first of two intercontinental wars, and laid the groundwork for the present-day global order. Gavrilo, a Bosnian Serb, thought he would pave the way for… Read More »
Weekly Energy Update (April 7, 2022)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA | PDF Oil prices remain volatile, moving on war news. The SPR release will likely be bearish for prices. Technically, the oil chart appears to have a descending triangle, which is often a bearish pattern. (Source: Barchart.com) Crude oil inventories rose 2.4 mb compared to a… Read More »
Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – Latin America’s Day in the Sun (April 4, 2022)
by the Asset Allocation Committee | PDF As we’ve previously described in many of our publications, the Russian invasion of Ukraine has changed the world in profound, long-lasting ways. We have defined how it will further cleave the world’s nations into at least two major geopolitical blocs with limited commercial and financial ties. We have… Read More »
Weekly Energy Update (March 31, 2022)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA | PDF Oil prices remain volatile, moving on news regarding the Russia-Ukraine war. (Source: Barchart.com) Crude oil inventories fell 3.4 mb compared to a 2.2 mb draw forecast. The SPR declined 3.0 mb, meaning the net draw was 6.5 mb. In the details, U.S. crude oil… Read More »
Bi-Weekly Geopolitical Report – The New Era of Higher Defense Budgets (March 28, 2022)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA | PDF The Russia-Ukraine war has transformed the world in the blink of an eye. We think the war and its aftermath will reverse much of the economic globalization of recent decades and cleave the world into two or more blocs with only limited interplay. We believe sanctions on Russia will… Read More »