Research & News
Daily Comment (August 2, 2022)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Our Comment today opens with an update on the Russia-Ukraine war, where Russia continues to struggle with insufficient troop levels to make more significant territorial gains or to better defend against Ukraine’s counteroffensive in the south of the country. We next review… Read More »
Bi-Weekly Geopolitical Report – Political Crises for Top U.S. Allies (August 1, 2022)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA | PDF It’s been a hot summer for some of the United States’ key allies, and we don’t just mean the weather. We’ve seen a major political assassination in Japan, the scandal-driven ouster of a prime minister in the United Kingdom, and a failed vote of confidence that led to the… Read More »
Daily Comment (August 1, 2022)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Our Comment today opens with an update on the Russia-Ukraine war, including details on the first shipment of grain from a Ukrainian port under the recent Turkish-brokered deal for safe passage of food exports from the country. We next review a wide… Read More »
Daily Comment (July 29, 2022)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Good morning! Today’s Comment will begin with a discussion of a broad macroeconomic outlook focusing on the central bank transition away from forward guidance, the U.S. GDP contraction in Q2, and a surge in Eurozone inflation. Next, we discuss U.S.-China relations. Finally,… Read More »
Daily Comment (July 28, 2022)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Good morning. We have a lot to discuss today. Today’s Comment will begin with an overview of the latest Fed meeting. Next, we will analyze the latest development in the Russia-Ukraine war and explain why we think the conflict could end in… Read More »
Weekly Energy Update (July 28, 2022)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA | PDF It appears that oil prices are settling into a broad trading range between $125 and $95 per barrel. (Source: Barchart.com) Crude oil inventories fell 4.5 mb compared to a 1.5 mb draw forecast. The SPR declined 5.6 mb, meaning the net draw was 10.1… Read More »
Daily Comment (July 27, 2022)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Our Comment today opens with an update on the Russia-Ukraine war, including more fallout for the world’s energy and food supplies. We next review a wide range of other international and U.S. developments with the potential to affect the financial markets today,… Read More »
Daily Comment (July 26, 2022)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Our Comment today opens with an update on the Russia-Ukraine war, with a focus on its associated disruptions to global natural gas and grain supplies. We next review a wide range of other international and U.S. developments with the potential to affect… Read More »