Research & News
Asset Allocation Weekly – This Recovery is Different (August 27, 2021)
by the Asset Allocation Committee | PDF Since the Federal Reserve was granted independence in 1951 there have been 11 recessions. Although each recession and recovery are somewhat unique, analysts tend to compare them for clues about future economic activity and policy actions. In terms of monetary policy, Chair Powell has staked out a dovish… Read More »
Weekly Energy Update (August 26, 2021)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA | PDF After reaching $62 per barrel support, prices have snapped back. (Source: Barchart.com) Crude oil inventories fell 3.0 mb compared to the 2.0 mb draw forecast. The SPR was unchanged this week. In the details, U.S. crude oil production was steady at 11.4 mbpd. Exports… Read More »
Weekly Geopolitical Report – Data and Geopolitics: Part II (August 23, 2021)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA | PDF In Part I of this report, we discussed why today’s political leaders and governments are now paying such close attention to the control of data and information, and what that means for geopolitics. In Part II, we will show how China is perhaps the best example of modern state… Read More »
Asset Allocation Weekly – The Impact of Older Americans on the Labor Market (August 20, 2021)
by the Asset Allocation Committee | PDF In analyzing the path for the economy, an important factor is separating the temporary effects of the pandemic from those that are longer lasting. The debate over whether inflation will be transitory is tied to this determination. The impact on the labor markets is another element. One change… Read More »
Weekly Energy Update (August 19, 2021)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA | PDF Oil prices remain under pressure as concerns over the Delta virus and seasonal factors press prices lower. (Source: Barchart.com) Crude oil inventories fell 3.2 mb compared to the 1.5 mb draw forecast. The SPR was unchanged this week. In the details, U.S. crude oil… Read More »
Weekly Geopolitical Report – Data and Geopolitics: Part I (August 16, 2021)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA | PDF For decades now, the post-industrial “information age” has been a key topic of interest for economists, business leaders, financial managers, and investors. All have come to appreciate the implications of silicon-based semiconductors and the opportunities they create for mass data management, storage, communications, and analytics. In recent years, data… Read More »
Asset Allocation Weekly – Intellectual Property Takes Over Fixed Investment (August 13, 2021)
by the Asset Allocation Committee | PDF It’s probably no surprise to anyone that information processing has become a bigger and bigger part of the economy over the last several decades. By now, we’ve all gotten used to seeing new kinds of computers and telephones every year, and we’ve struggled with learning new software programs… Read More »