Research & News
Asset Allocation Weekly (July 2, 2021)
by the Asset Allocation Committee | PDF (Due to the Independence Day holiday, there will not be an accompanying podcast and chart book this week. The multimedia offerings associated with this report will resume next week, July 9.) The Wall Street Journal Dollar Index, which tracks the dollar’s value relative to seven major currencies, has… Read More »
Weekly Energy Update (July 1, 2021)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA | PDF Oil prices are moving steadily higher although momentum is starting to slow. (Source: Barchart.com) Crude oil inventories fell 6.7 mb compared to the 4.0 mb draw expected. The SPR fell 1.4 mb, meaning without the addition from the reserve, commercial inventories would have declined… Read More »
Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Mid-Year Geopolitical Outlook (June 28, 2021)
by Bill O’Grady & Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA | PDF (Due to the Independence Day holiday and a short summer hiatus, the next report will be published July 12.) As is our custom, we update our geopolitical outlook for the remainder of the year as the first half comes to a close. This report is less… Read More »
Asset Allocation Weekly (June 25, 2021)
by the Asset Allocation Committee | PDF Every quarter, the Federal Reserve publishes the Financial Accounts of the U.S., previously referred to as the Flow of Funds report. The report is huge and provides a balance sheet and income statement of sorts for the economy. The data offer interesting insights into the financial situation of… Read More »
Weekly Energy Update (June 24, 2021)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA | PDF Oil prices are moving steadily higher in an orderly fashion. (Source: Barchart.com) Crude oil inventories fell 7.6 mb compared to the 3.5 mb draw expected. The SPR fell 1.7 mb, meaning without the addition from the reserve, commercial inventories would have declined 9.3 mb.… Read More »
Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Geopolitics of the Colonial Pipeline Ransomware Attack: Part II (June 21, 2021)
by Bill O’Grady | PDF In Part I, we provided an overview of the Colonial Pipeline ransomware attack, followed by reflections on organized crime and why ransomware has become so attractive to criminals. We also described Darkside, the firm involved in the attack. This week, we will conclude with a discussion of why this attack… Read More »
Asset Allocation Weekly (June 18, 2021)
by the Asset Allocation Committee | PDF As the global economy begins to recover from the coronavirus, we’ve been warning that the apparent surge in price inflation may not be all that it seems. Inflation is usually calculated as the percentage change over one year. Since many consumer prices stagnated or fell at the start… Read More »