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Part I (October 28, 2019) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The End of the Carter Doctrine: Part II (October 21, 2019) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The End of the Carter Doctrine: Part I (October 14, 2019) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Japan-South Korea Dispute: Part II (October 7, 2019) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Japan-South Korea Dispute: Part I (September 30, 2019) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Weaponizing the Dollar: The Nuclear Option, Part II (September 23, 2019) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Weaponizing the Dollar: The Nuclear Option, Part I (September 16, 2019) Weekly Geopolitical Report – A Kashmir Sweater (September 9, 2019) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Meet Boris Johnson (August 26, 2019) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Weaponizing the Dollar: Part II (August 19, 2019) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Weaponizing the Dollar: Part I (August 12, 2019) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Turkey Lashing Out (August 5, 2019) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Economic Triangle: Part II (July 29, 2019) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Economic Triangle: Part I (July 22, 2019) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Russia’s Local Elections (July 15, 2019) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Mid-Year Geopolitical Outlook (June 24, 2019) Weekly Geopolitical Report – War with Iran? (June 17, 2019) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Reflections on Tiananmen (June 10, 2019) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Rare Earths (June 3, 2019) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Venezuela: An Update, Part II (May 20, 2019) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Venezuela: An Update, Part I (May 13, 2019) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Reflections on Domestic Policy and American Hegemony: Part III (May 6, 2019) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Reflections on Domestic Policy and American Hegemony: Part II (April 29, 2019) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Reflections on Domestic Policy and American Hegemony: Part I (April 15, 2019) Weekly Geopolitical Report – When Hegemons Fade (April 8, 2019) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Modern Monetary Theory: Part IV (April 1, 2019) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Modern Monetary Theory: Part III (March 25, 2019) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Modern Monetary Theory: Part II (March 18, 2019) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Modern Monetary Theory: Part I (March 11, 2019) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Irish Question: Part II (March 4, 2019) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Irish Question: Part I (February 25, 2019) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Nigerian Election (February 11, 2019) Weekly Geopolitical Report – What to do with China: Part II (February 4, 2019) Weekly Geopolitical Report – What to do with China: Part I (January 28, 2019) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Reflections on Inflections: Part II (January 14, 2019) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Reflections on Inflections: Part I (January 7, 2019) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The 2019 Geopolitical Outlook (December 17, 2018) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Malevolent Hegemon: Part III (December 10, 2018) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Malevolent Hegemon: Part II (December 3, 2018) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Malevolent Hegemon: Part I (November 26, 2018) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Reflections on the Khashoggi Incident: Part II (November 12, 2018) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Reflections on the Khashoggi Incident: Part I (November 5, 2018) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Return of the Strongman: Part II (October 29, 2018) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Return of the Strongman: Part I (October 22, 2018) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Dollar Problem: Part II (October 8, 2018) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Dollar Problem: Part I (October 1, 2018) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Venezuelan Migration Crisis: Part II (September 24, 2018) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Venezuelan Migration Crisis: Part I (September 17, 2018) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Battle for Idlib (September 10, 2018) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Turkey Crisis: Part II (August 27, 2018) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Turkey Crisis: Part I (August 20, 2018) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Iran Sanctions and Potential Responses: Part III (August 13, 2018) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Iran Sanctions and Potential Responses: Part II (August 6, 2018) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Iran Sanctions and Potential Responses: Part I (July 30, 2018) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Reflections on Politics and Populism: Part II (July 23, 2018) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Reflections on Politics and Populism: Part I (July 16, 2018) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Return of AMLO (July 9, 2018) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Mid-Year Geopolitical Outlook (June 25, 2018) Weekly Geopolitical Report – China’s Foreign Reserves: Part III (June 18, 2018) Weekly Geopolitical Report – China’s Foreign Reserves: Part II (June 11, 2018) Weekly Geopolitical Report – China’s Foreign Reserves: Part I (June 4, 2018) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Reflections on Cyberwar (May 21, 2018) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Marshall Plan: A Review (May 14, 2018) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Generational Change in Cuba? (April 30, 2018) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Reflections on Globalization: Part III (April 23, 2018) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Reflections on Globalization: Part II (April 16, 2018) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Reflections on Globalization: Part I (April 9, 2018) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The North Korean Summit: Part II (March 26, 2018) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The North Korean Summit: Part I (March 19, 2018) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Emperor Xi: Part II (March 12, 2018) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Emperor Xi: Part I (March 5, 2018) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Italian Elections: Part II (February 26, 2018) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Italian Elections: Part I (February 12, 2018) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Trump & Trade: The First Year (February 5, 2018) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Thinking the Unthinkable (Again): Part II (January 29, 2018) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Thinking the Unthinkable (Again): Part I (January 22, 2018) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Iranian Protests (January 8, 2018) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The 2018 Geopolitical Outlook (December 18, 2017) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Moving Fast and Breaking Things: Mohammad bin Salman, Part III (December 11, 2017) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Moving Fast and Breaking Things: Mohammad bin Salman, Part II (December 4, 2017) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Moving Fast and Breaking Things: Mohammad bin Salman, Part I (November 20, 2017) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Situation in Catalonia: Part II (November 13, 2017) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Situation in Catalonia: Part I (November 6, 2017) Weekly Geopolitical Report – North Korea and China: A Difficult History, Part III (October 30, 2017) Weekly Geopolitical Report – North Korea and China: A Difficult History, Part II (October 23, 2017) Weekly Geopolitical Report – North Korea and China: A Difficult History, Part I (October 16, 2017) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Four Horsemen of Leveling: A Book Review (October 9, 2017) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The 19th Party Congress (October 2, 2017) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Using History (September 25, 2017) Weekly Geopolitical Report – North Korea: An Update (September 18, 2017) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Reflections on Nationalism: Part III (September 11, 2017) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Reflections on Nationalism: Part II (August 28, 2017) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Reflections on Nationalism: Part I (August 21, 2017) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Qatar Situation: Part II (August 14, 2017) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Qatar Situation: Part I (August 7, 2017) Weekly Geopolitical Report – A Coup in Riyadh (July 31, 2017) Weekly Geopolitical Report – A Productivity Boom: A Response to Robert Gordon, Part II (July 24, 2017) Weekly Geopolitical Report – A Productivity Boom: A Response to Robert Gordon, Part I (July 17, 2017) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Mid-Year Geopolitical Outlook (July 10, 2017) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Second Korean War: Part II (June 26, 2017) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Second Korean War: Part I (June 19, 2017) Weekly Geopolitical Report – South Korea’s Too Big to Fail (June 12, 2017) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Are the Germans Bad? (June 5, 2017) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Reflections on Trade: Part IV (May 22, 2017) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Reflections on Trade: Part III (May 15, 2017) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Reflections on Trade: Part II (May 8, 2017) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Reflections on Trade: Part I (May 1, 2017) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Between a Rock and a Hard Place: The Gibraltar Dilemma (April 24, 2017) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The EU at 60: Part II (April 10, 2017) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The EU at 60: Part I (April 3, 2017) Weekly Geopolitical Report – It’s Tsar, Not Comrade (March 27, 2017) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Rise of AMLO: Part II (March 20, 2017) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Rise of AMLO: Part I (March 13, 2017) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Assassination of Kim Jong Nam (March 6, 2017) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Germany: The Reluctant Superpower (February 27, 2017) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Nuclear Blackmail (February 13, 2017) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Exit the Shark (February 6, 2017) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Future of the Euro (January 30, 2017) Weekly Geopolitical Report – War Gaming: Part II (January 23, 2017) Weekly Geopolitical Report – War Gaming: Part I (January 9, 2017) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The 2017 Geopolitical Outlook (December 12, 2016) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Losing the Philippines: Part 2 (December 5, 2016) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Losing the Philippines: Part 1 (November 21, 2016) Weekly Geopolitical Report – President Trump: A Preliminary Analysis (November 14, 2016) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Inflation Targeting: What’s so special about 2%? (November 7, 2016) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Geopolitics of the Reserve Currency: Part 2 (October 31, 2016) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Geopolitics of the Reserve Currency: Part 1 (October 24, 2016) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The TTIP and the TPP: An Update (October 17, 2016) Weekly Geopolitical Report – American Foreign Policy: A Review, Part II (October 10, 2016) Weekly Geopolitical Report – American Foreign Policy: A Review, Part I (October 3, 2016) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Goodbye, Dilma. Hello, Michel. (September 26, 2016) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Reflections on Terrorism (September 19, 2016) Weekly Geopolitical Report – After Karimov (September 12, 2016) Weekly Geopolitical Report – What’s Putin up to? (August 29, 2016) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Thinking about Thinking: Part II (August 22, 2016) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Thinking about Thinking: Part I (August 15, 2016) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Turkish Coup, Part III (August 8, 2016) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Turkish Coup, Part II (August 1, 2016) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Turkish Coup, Part I (July 25, 2016) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Meet Theresa May (July 18, 2016) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Post-Brexit (July 11, 2016) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The 2016 Mid-Year Geopolitical Outlook (June 27, 2016) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Real Risk of Brexit (June 20, 2016) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Trade Facilitation and Trade Enforcement Act (June 13, 2016) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Tragedy of Venezuela (June 6, 2016) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Sykes-Picot: 100 Years Later (May 23, 2016) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Geopolitics of Helicopter Money: Part 3 (May 16, 2016) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Geopolitics of Helicopter Money: Part 2 (May 9, 2016) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Geopolitics of Helicopter Money: Part 1 (May 2, 2016) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Impeachment Proceedings of Dilma Rousseff (April 25, 2016) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Nagorno-Karabakh (April 18, 2016) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Intergenerational Forgetfulness (April 11, 2016) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Archetypes of American Foreign Policy: A Reprise (April 4, 2016) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Russian Withdrawal (March 21, 2016) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Apple Problem (March 14, 2016) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Iranian Elections (March 7, 2016) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Brexit (February 29, 2016) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The 2016 Election: An Update (February 22, 2016) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Russia’s Struggles (February 8, 2016) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Trouble in Taiwan (February 1, 2016) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Italy’s Banking Crisis (January 25, 2016) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Saudi Executions (January 11, 2016) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The 2016 Geopolitical Outlook (December 14, 2015) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Evolution of IS (December 7, 2015) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Putin and Flight 9268 (November 23, 2015) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Political Turmoil in Portugal (November 16, 2015) Weekly Geopolitical Report – EU Migrant Crisis: Focus on Hungary (November 2, 2015) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Obama Doctrine: Moneyball America (October 26, 2015) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The TPP (October 19, 2015) Weekly Geopolitical Report – “Catalonia, a New State within Europe”? (October 12, 2015) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Putin and Syria (October 5, 2015) Weekly Geopolitical Report – El Niño Update (September 28, 2015) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Meet Jeremy Corbyn (September 21, 2015) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Bremmer’s Choices (August 31, 2015) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Book Review: Superpower (August 24, 2015) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Donald and Bernie (August 17, 2015) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Turkey’s Predicament (August 10, 2015) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Reflections on the Iran Deal (August 3, 2015) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Laudato Sí (July 27, 2015) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Imperial Germany (July 20, 2015) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Greek Games: An Update (July 13, 2015) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The 2015 Mid-Year Geopolitical Outlook (June 29, 2015) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Cyber Security and Terrorism: Case Studies (June 22, 2015) Weekly Geopolitical Report – An Alternative to Gandhi (June 15, 2015) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Importance of FIFA (June 8, 2015) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Greece: An Update (June 1, 2015) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The U.K. Elections (May 18, 2015) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Next Generation (May 11, 2015) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Can Assad Survive? (May 4, 2015) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Ideology of IS (April 27, 2015) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The AIIB (April 20, 2015) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Ideology of IS (April 13, 2015) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The New World Order: Part IV (April 6, 2015) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The New World Order: Part III (March 30, 2015) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The New World Order: Part II (March 23, 2015) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The New World Order: Part I (March 16, 2015) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Good luck, Jonathan. Good luck, Nigeria. (March 9, 2015) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Yemen: A Land with a Rich Past and a Poor Present (March 2, 2015) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Détente with Iran: An Update (February 23, 2015) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Greek Games (February 9, 2015) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Reflections on 1986 (February 2, 2015) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Saudi Succession (January 20, 2015) Weekly Geopolitical Report – European Populism (January 12, 2015) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Cuban Thaw (January 5, 2015) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The 2015 Geopolitical Outlook (December 15, 2014) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Hungary’s PM: Madman or Geopolitical Genius? (December 8, 2014) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Reflections on the 25th Anniversary of the Fall of the Berlin Wall: Part 2 (November 24, 2014) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Reflections on the 25th Anniversary of the Fall of the Berlin Wall: Part 1 (November 17, 2014) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Manufacturing Renaissance? (November 10, 2014) Weekly Geopolitical Report – A Smaller World (November 3, 2014) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Echo of Wirtschaftswunder (October 27, 2014) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Eighth Default of Argentina (October 20, 2014) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Dilma or No Dilma? (October 13, 2014) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Welcome to the World, the Country of Catalonia? (October 6, 2014) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Ebola (September 29, 2014) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The TTIP and the TPP (January 27, 2014) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Best Consumed Below Zero? (December 9, 2013) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Elections in Chile (November 25, 2013) Weekly Geopolitical Report – France and the Iranian Negotiations (November 18, 2013) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Let’s Party Like it’s 1978 (November 11, 2013) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Saudi Tribulation (November 4, 2013) Weekly Geopolitical Report – India’s Maoist Problem (October 28, 2013) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Turmoil in Washington (October 14, 2013) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Gordon Dilemma (August 12, 2013) Weekly Geopolitical Report – Syria and the Red Line (May 6, 2013) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The 2013 Geopolitical Outlook (December 17, 2012) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The 2012 Geopolitical Outlook (December 19, 2011) Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Geopolitics of Geoengineering (May 11, 2009) Category: Asset Allocation Reports
Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – #131 “Household Cash Levels and the S&P 500” (Posted 12/9/24) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – #130 “Bonds and the Post-Election Environment” (Posted 11/25/24) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – #129 “Let’s Talk About Tariffs!” (Posted 11/11/24) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – #128 “The Inflation Adjustment for Social Security Benefits in 2025” (Posted 10/28/24) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – #127 “The Yield Curve Un-Inverts” (Posted 10/14/24) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – #126 “Presidential Cycles and Stock Performance” (Posted 9/30/24) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – #125 “The Benjamin Button Dividend” (Posted 9/16/24) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – #124 “Activist vs. Accommodative Treasury Issuance” (Posted 8/26/24) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – #123 “The Price of Central Bank Independence” (Posted 7/29/24) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – #122 “A New Factor for Gold Prices” (Posted 7/15/24) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – #121 “Small Caps and the Hope for a Soft Landing” (Posted 6/24/24) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – #120 “Copper, Gold, Treasurys, and the New World” (Posted 6/10/24) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – #119 “The Importance of the Federal Reserve’s Inflation Target” (Posted 5/28/24) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – #118 “The Immigration Paradox” (Posted 5/13/24) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – #117 “The Incremental Uranium Demand for Weapons” (Posted 4/15/24) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – #116 “The Fed’s Other Policy Tool” (Posted 3/18/24) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – #114 “Who Wants US Treasurys” (Posted 2/20/24) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – #112 “How Does Powell Define Restrictive Monetary Policy?” (Posted 1/22/24) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – #110 “Reflections on Earnings” (Posted 11/20/23) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – #109 “The Inflation Adjustment for Social Security Benefits in 2024” (Posted 11/6/23) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – #108 “A Regime Change in Bonds?” (Posted 10/23/23) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – #107 “The FOMC in 2024” (Posted 10/9/23) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – #106 “Where’s the Recession? A Recap” (Posted 9/25/23) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – #105 “Fiscal Tightening Looms” (Posted 9/11/23) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – #104 “Where’s the Recession? Examining Employment” (Posted 8/14/23) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – #103 “Part-Time Troubles” (Posted 7/31/23) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – #102 “Are Higher Interest Rates Bearish for Risk Assets?” (Posted 7/17/23) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – #101 “The Green Shoots of Re-Industrialization” (Posted 7/3/23) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – #100 “The Great Divergence” (Posted 6/20/23) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – #99 “Weak Capital Investment by State and Local Governments” (Posted 6/5/23) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – #98 “The Case for New Home Sales” (Posted 5/22/23) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – #97 “Why We Are Keeping Duration Short” (Posted 5/8/23) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – #96 “The Fed’s Employment Surprise” (Posted 4/24/23) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – #94 “Have Policymakers Solved the Tinbergen Problem?” (Posted 3/27/23) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – #93 “The Importance of the Policy Mix” (Posted 3/13/23) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – #92 “Federal Reserve Policymakers in 2023: Hawks or Doves?” (Posted 2/27/23) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – #91 “Secular Trends In Bond Yields” (Posted 2/3/23) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – #90 “The Master of Surprise” (Posted 1/20/23) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – #89 “Forecasting Financial Stress” (Posted 12/12/22) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – #88 “The Impossible Trinity” (Posted 11/14/22) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – #87 “The Inflation Adjustment for Social Security Benefits in 2023” (Posted 10/31/22) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – #86 “An Update on Bonds” (Posted 10/17/22) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – #85 “The Gold Paradox” (Posted 10/3/22) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – #83 “Storm Warning” (Posted 9/6/22) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – #81 “The Devil Is in the Details” (Posted 8/8/22) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – #79 “The ECB Dilemma” (Posted 7/11/22) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – #78 “The Selling of Austerity” (Posted 6/27/22) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – #77 “Homebuilders Versus Apartment Builders” (Posted 6/13/22) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – #76 “The Problem of Financial Conditions” (Posted 5/31/22) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – #75 “The FOMC Speaks” (Posted 5/16/22) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – #74 “The Tale of Two Surveys” (Posted 5/2/22) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – #73 “The Bank of Japan Cocks the Trigger” (Posted 4/18/22) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – #72 “Latin America’s Day in the Sun” (Posted 4/4/22) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – #71 “A Commodity Update” (Posted 3/21/22) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – #70 “Believe It or Not, Fiscal Policy Is Tightening” (Posted 3/7/22) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – #69 “The U.S. Trade Deficit and Global Prices” (Posted 2/22/22) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – #68 “Gold: An Update of Current Conditions” (Posted 2/7/22) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – #67 “Real Income versus the Wealth Effect; What is Driving Consumption?” (Posted 1/24/22) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – #66 “The Path of Monetary Policy” (Posted 1/10/22) Asset Allocation Weekly – #65 “What’s Causing the Yield Curve to Flatten?” (Posted 12/17/21) Asset Allocation Weekly – #64 “The Omicron Problem” (Posted 12/10/21) Asset Allocation Weekly – #63 “An Update on Gold” (Posted 12/3/21) Asset Allocation Weekly – #62 “The Composition of the FOMC” (Posted 11/19/21) Asset Allocation Weekly – #61 “The Citigroup Economic Surprise Index & Bond Yields” (Posted 11/12/21) Asset Allocation Weekly – #60 “Is Monetary Policy Affected by Financial Markets?” (Posted 11/5/21) Asset Allocation Weekly – #59 “The Debt Ceiling & the Platinum Coin” (Posted 10/29/21) Asset Allocation Weekly – #58 “The Inflation Adjustment for Social Security Benefits in 2022” (Posted 10/22/21) Asset Allocation Weekly – #57 “Globalization Isn’t What It Used to Be” (Posted 10/15/21) Asset Allocation Weekly – #56 “Has Bitcoin Become a Substitute for Gold?” (Posted 10/8/21) Asset Allocation Weekly – #55 “The Prices We Don’t See” (Posted 10/1/21) Asset Allocation Weekly – #54 “The Supply Side Worry on Inflation” (Posted 9/24/21) Asset Allocation Weekly – #53 “Don’t Call It a Comeback!” (Posted 9/17/21) Asset Allocation Weekly – #52 “Powell & Fed Independence” (Posted 9/10/21) Asset Allocation Weekly – #51 “This Recovery is Different” (Posted 8/27/21) Asset Allocation Weekly – #50 “The Impact of Older Americans on the Labor Market” (Posted 8/20/21) Asset Allocation Weekly – #49 “Intellectual Property Takes Over Fixed Investment” (Posted 8/13/21) Asset Allocation Weekly – #48 (Posted 8/6/21) Asset Allocation Weekly – #47 (Posted 7/30/21) Asset Allocation Weekly – #46 (Posted 7/23/21) Asset Allocation Weekly – #45 (Posted 7/16/21) Asset Allocation Weekly – #44 (Posted 7/9/21) Asset Allocation Weekly – #43 (Posted 6/25/21) Asset Allocation Weekly – #42 (Posted 6/18/21) Asset Allocation Weekly – #41 (Posted 6/11/21) Asset Allocation Weekly – #40 (Posted 5/28/21) Asset Allocation Weekly – #38 (Posted 5/14/21) Asset Allocation Weekly – #37 (Posted 5/7/21) Asset Allocation Weekly – #36 (Posted 4/23/21) Asset Allocation Weekly – #35 (Posted 4/16/21) Asset Allocation Weekly – #34 (Posted 4/9/21) Asset Allocation Weekly – #33 (Posted 3/26/21) Asset Allocation Weekly – #32 (Posted 3/19/21) Asset Allocation Weekly – #31 (Posted 3/12/21) Asset Allocation Weekly – #30 (Posted 3/5/21) Asset Allocation Weekly – #29 (Posted 2/26/21) Asset Allocation Weekly – #28 (Posted 2/19/21) Asset Allocation Weekly – #26 (Posted 2/5/21) Asset Allocation Weekly – #25 (Posted 1/29/21) Asset Allocation Weekly – #24 (Posted 1/22/21) Asset Allocation Weekly – #23 (Posted 1/15/21) Asset Allocation Weekly – #22 (Posted 12/18/20) Asset Allocation Weekly – #21 (Posted 12/11/20) Asset Allocation Weekly – #20 (Posted 11/20/20) Asset Allocation Weekly – #19 (Posted 11/13/20) Asset Allocation Weekly – #18 (Posted 11/6/20) Asset Allocation Weekly – #16 (Posted 10/23/20) Asset Allocation Weekly – #15 (Posted 10/16/20) Asset Allocation Weekly – #14 (Posted 10/9/20) Asset Allocation Weekly – #13 (Posted 10/2/20) Asset Allocation Weekly – #12 (Posted 9/25/20) Asset Allocation Weekly – #11 (Posted 9/18/20) Asset Allocation Weekly – #10 (Posted 9/4/20) Asset Allocation Weekly – #9 (Posted 8/28/20) Asset Allocation Weekly – #8 (Posted 8/21/20) Asset Allocation Weekly – #7 (Posted 8/14/20) Asset Allocation Weekly – #6 (Posted 8/7/20) Asset Allocation Weekly – #5 (Posted 7/31/20) Asset Allocation Weekly – #4 (Posted 7/24/20) Asset Allocation Weekly – #3 (Posted 7/20/20) Asset Allocation Weekly – #2 (Posted 7/10/20) Asset Allocation Weekly – #1 (Posted 6/26/20) Category: Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly
Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – Household Cash Levels and the S&P 500 (December 9, 2024) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – Bonds and the Post-Election Environment (November 25, 2024) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – Let’s Talk About Tariffs! (November 11, 2024) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – The Inflation Adjustment for Social Security Benefits in 2025 (October 28, 2024) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – The Yield Curve Un-Inverts (October 14, 2024) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – Presidential Cycles and Stock Performance (September 30, 2024) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – The Benjamin Button Dividend (September 16, 2024) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – Activist vs. Accommodative Treasury Issuance (August 26, 2024) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – Is the Sahm Rule Right? (August 12, 2024) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – The Price of Central Bank Independence (July 29, 2024) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – A New Factor for Gold Prices (July 15, 2024) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – Small Caps and the Hope for a Soft Landing (June 24, 2024) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – Copper, Gold, Treasurys, and the New World (June 10, 2024) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – The Importance of the Federal Reserve’s Inflation Target (May 28, 2024) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – The Immigration Paradox (May 13, 2024) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – The Peace Dividend, Government Debt, and Yield Curve Control (April 29, 2024) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – The Incremental Uranium Demand for Weapons (April 15, 2024) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – Gold, Gold Miners, and Central Banks (April 1, 2024) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – The Fed’s Other Policy Tool (March 18, 2024) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – Uranium Demand, Supply, and Investment Prospects (March 4, 2024) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – Who Wants US Treasurys? (February 20, 2024) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – U.S. Oil Production at a Record High (February 5, 2024) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – How Does Powell Define Restrictive Monetary Policy? (January 22, 2024) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – A Pause That Refreshes? (December 4, 2023) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – Reflections on Earnings (November 20, 2023) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – The Inflation Adjustment for Social Security Benefits in 2024 (November 6, 2023) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – A Regime Change in Bonds? (October 23, 2023) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – The FOMC in 2024 (October 9, 2023) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – Where’s the Recession? A Recap (September 25, 2023) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – Fiscal Tightening Looms (September 11, 2023) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – Examining the Rise in T-Note Yields (August 28, 2023) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – Where’s the Recession? Examining Employment (August 14, 2023) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – Part-Time Troubles (July 31, 2023) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – Are Higher Interest Rates Bearish for Risk Assets? (July 17, 2023) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – The Green Shoots of Re-Industrialization (July 3, 2023) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – The Great Divergence (June 20, 2023) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – Weak Capital Investment by State and Local Governments (June 5, 2023) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – The Case for New Home Sales (May 22, 2023) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – Why We Are Keeping Duration Short (May 8, 2023) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – The Fed’s Employment Surprise (April 24, 2023) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – Increasing Concerns About Commercial Real Estate (April 10, 2023) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – Have Policymakers Solved the Tinbergen Problem? (March 27, 2023) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – The Importance of the Policy Mix (March 13, 2023) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – Federal Reserve Policymakers in 2023: Hawks or Doves? (February 27, 2023) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – Reflections on Inflation (February 13, 2023) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – Secular Trends In Bond Yields (January 30, 2023) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – The Master of Surprise (January 17, 2023) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – Forecasting Financial Stress (December 5, 2022) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – The Impossible Trinity (November 14, 2022) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – The Inflation Adjustment for Social Security Benefits in 2023 (October 31, 2022) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – An Update on Bonds (October 17, 2022) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – The Gold Paradox (October 3, 2022) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – The Federal Reserve’s Big Policy Mistake (September 19, 2022) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – Storm Warning (September 6, 2022) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – The Inflation Surprise (August 22, 2022) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – The Devil Is in the Details (August 8, 2022) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – The Puzzle of the Labor Force (July 25, 2022) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – The ECB Dilemma (July 11, 2022) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – The Selling of Austerity (June 27, 2022) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – Homebuilders Versus Apartment Builders (June 13, 2022) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – The Problem of Financial Conditions (May 31, 2022) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – The FOMC Speaks (May 16, 2022) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – The Tale of Two Surveys (May 2, 2022) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – The Bank of Japan Cocks the Trigger (April 18, 2022) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – Latin America’s Day in the Sun (April 4, 2022) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – A Commodity Update (March 21, 2022) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – Believe It or Not, Fiscal Policy Is Tightening (March 7, 2022) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – The U.S. Trade Deficit and Global Prices (February 22 2022) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – Gold: An Update of Current Conditions (February 7, 2022) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – Real Income versus the Wealth Effect; What is Driving Consumption? (January 24, 2022) Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – The Path of Monetary Policy (January 10, 2022) Asset Allocation Weekly – What’s Causing the Yield Curve to Flatten? (December 17, 2021) Asset Allocation Weekly – The Omicron Problem (December 10, 2021) Asset Allocation Weekly – An Update on Gold (December 3, 2021) Asset Allocation Weekly – The Composition of the FOMC (November 19, 2021) Asset Allocation Weekly – The Citigroup Economic Surprise Index and Bond Yields (November 12, 2021) Asset Allocation Weekly – Is Monetary Policy Affected by Financial Markets? (November 5, 2021) Asset Allocation Weekly – The Debt Ceiling and the Platinum Coin (October 29, 2021) Asset Allocation Weekly – The Inflation Adjustment for Social Security Benefits in 2022 (October 22, 2021) Asset Allocation Weekly – Globalization Isn’t What It Used to Be (October 15, 2021) Asset Allocation Weekly – Has Bitcoin Become a Substitute for Gold? 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(September 3, 2021) Asset Allocation Weekly – This Recovery is Different (August 27, 2021) Asset Allocation Weekly – The Impact of Older Americans on the Labor Market (August 20, 2021) Asset Allocation Weekly – Intellectual Property Takes Over Fixed Investment (August 13, 2021) Asset Allocation Weekly (August 6, 2021) Asset Allocation Weekly (July 30, 2021) Asset Allocation Weekly (July 23, 2021) Asset Allocation Weekly (July 16, 2021) Asset Allocation Weekly (July 9, 2021) Asset Allocation Weekly (July 2, 2021) Asset Allocation Weekly (June 25, 2021) Asset Allocation Weekly (June 18, 2021) Asset Allocation Weekly (June 11, 2021) Asset Allocation Weekly (June 4, 2021) Asset Allocation Weekly (May 28, 2021) Asset Allocation Weekly (May 21, 2021) Asset Allocation Weekly (May 14, 2021) Asset Allocation Weekly (May 7, 2021) Asset Allocation Weekly (April 30, 2021) Asset Allocation Weekly (April 23, 2021) Asset Allocation Weekly (April 16, 2021) Asset Allocation Weekly (April 9, 2021) Asset 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2016) Asset Allocation Weekly (November 4, 2016) Asset Allocation Weekly (October 28, 2016) Asset Allocation Weekly (October 21, 2016) Asset Allocation Weekly (October 14, 2016) Asset Allocation Weekly (October 7, 2016) Asset Allocation Weekly (September 30, 2016) Asset Allocation Weekly (September 23, 2016) Asset Allocation Weekly (September 16, 2016) Asset Allocation Weekly (September 9, 2016) Asset Allocation Weekly (September 2, 2016) Asset Allocation Weekly (August 26, 2016) Asset Allocation Weekly (August 19, 2016) Asset Allocation Weekly (August 12, 2016) Asset Allocation Weekly (August 5, 2016) Asset Allocation Weekly (July 29, 2016) Asset Allocation Weekly (July 22, 2016) Asset Allocation Weekly (July 15, 2016) Asset Allocation Weekly (July 8, 2016) Asset Allocation Weekly (July 1, 2016) Asset Allocation Weekly (June 24, 2016) Asset Allocation Weekly (June 17, 2016) Asset Allocation Weekly (June 10, 2016) Asset Allocation Weekly (June 3, 2016) Asset Allocation Weekly (May 27, 2016) Asset Allocation Weekly (May 20, 2016) Asset Allocation Weekly (May 13, 2016) Asset Allocation Weekly (May 6, 2016) Asset Allocation Weekly (April 29, 2016) Asset Allocation Weekly (April 22, 2016) Asset Allocation Weekly (April 15, 2016) Asset Allocation Weekly (April 8, 2016) Asset Allocation Weekly (April 1, 2016) Asset Allocation Weekly (February 28, 2014) Category: Asset Allocation Quarterly
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The 2025 Outlook: A Year of Political and Policy Change (December 20, 2024) The 2024 Outlook: Slow-Bicycle Economy (December 18, 2023) The Case for Hard Assets: An Update (June 2023) 2023 Outlook: A Recession Year (December 21, 2022) 2022 Outlook: Update #2 – The Tails Become Fatter (July 12, 2022) 2022 Outlook: Update #1 (February 18, 2022) 2022 Outlook: The Year of Fat Tails (December 16, 2021) 2021 Outlook: The Recovery Year (December 14, 2020) The Case for Hard Assets: An Update (September 2020) 2020 Outlook Update #2: Storm Warning (March 27, 2020) 2020 Outlook Update: Storm Warning (March 16, 2020) 2020 Outlook: Storm Watch (December 19, 2019) 2019 Outlook: Red Sky at Morning (December 14, 2018) A Primer on Fiscal Policy, Government Debt and Deficits (June 13, 2018) 2018 Outlook: Addendum (January 4, 2018) 2018 Outlook (November 30, 2017) 2017 Outlook (December 21, 2016) 2016: An Update (February 24, 2016) 2016 Outlook (November 30, 2015) Category: Keller Quarterly
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Quarterly Energy Comment (December 17, 2019) Quarterly Energy Comment (August 27, 2019) Quarterly Energy Comment (March 21, 2019) Quarterly Energy Comment (September 7, 2018) Quarterly Energy Comment (March 13, 2018) Quarterly Energy Comment (December 15, 2017) Quarterly Energy Comment (July 18, 2017) Quarterly Energy Comment (April 11, 2017) Quarterly Energy Comment (December 30, 2016) Quarterly Energy Comment (May 10, 2016) Quarterly Energy Comment (March 24, 2016) Quarterly Energy Comment (November 18, 2015) Quarterly Energy Comment (September 3, 2015) Quarterly Energy Comment (May 6, 2015) Category: Weekly Energy Update
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2020) Weekly Energy Update (September 11, 2020) Weekly Energy Update (September 3, 2020) Weekly Energy Update (August 27, 2020) Weekly Energy Update (August 20, 2020) Weekly Energy Update (August 13, 2020) Weekly Energy Update (August 6, 2020) Weekly Energy Update (July 30, 2020) Weekly Energy Update (July 23, 2020) Weekly Energy Update (July 16, 2020) Weekly Energy Update (July 9, 2020) Weekly Energy Update (June 25, 2020) Weekly Energy Update (June 18, 2020) Weekly Energy Update (June 11, 2020) Weekly Energy Update (June 4, 2020) Weekly Energy Update (May 29, 2020) Weekly Energy Update (May 21, 2020) Weekly Energy Update (May 14, 2020) Weekly Energy Update (May 7, 2020) Weekly Energy Update (April 30, 2020) Weekly Energy Update (April 23, 2020) Weekly Energy Update (April 16, 2020) Weekly Energy Update (April 9, 2020) Weekly Energy Update (April 2, 2020) Weekly Energy Update (March 26, 2020) Weekly Energy Update (March 19, 2020) Weekly Energy Update (March 12, 2020) Weekly Energy 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